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Aussie Bulls Hold 0.7185 as 0.72715 Comes Back Into View

By
Cedric Thompson
Published: Jun 3, 2026, 02:00 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • AUD/USD has a bullish structure on the 0.0015-brick Renko, with bricks above the 21-EMA, 50-SMA and 500-SMA.
  • AUD strength comes back broadly, with AUD/USD, AUD/EUR, AUD/GBP and AUD/JPY all higher on the heat map.
  • Australian data release is mixed, with weak building approvals and softer company profits.
Aussie Bulls Hold 0.7185 as 0.72715 Comes Back Into View

Aussie Strength Broadens

During today’s session AUD/USD is up 0.16%, AUD/EUR is up marginally by 0.05%, AUD/GBP is up 0.07%, and AUD/JPY is up the most by 0.24%. Broad Aussie. Perhaps the momentum is building to take AUD higher across all major FX crosses.

AUD Rises Against USD, EUR, GBP and JPY, Led By AUD/JPY Strength

Currency heat map showing AUD/USD up 0.16%, AUD.EUR up 0.05%, AUD/GBP up 0.07% and AUD/JPY up 0.24%. Source: FXEmpire.com

Building Permits Miss Forecast

Australian building permits were weaker than expected with an actual of -3.4% versus a -1.5% forecast. More than double. But it’s much better than the previous reading of -10.5%. Additionally, ABS data showed total dwellings approved fell 3.4% in April, with private sector houses down 1% and private sector dwelling excluding houses down 3.6%. That’s not good for household momentum.

Australian Building Permits Fell 3.4%, Missing The -1.5% Forecast

Australian building permits chart showing a 3.4% monthly decline versus a forecast decline of 1.5%. Source: TradingView

Company Profits Slip

There was disappointment in company profits data as well. It fell -1.3% qoq versus a 0.5% forecast and well below the 5.9% gain. This was attributed to mining, where profits fell 9.1%, while non-mining profits were firmer at +3.7%. So the declines weren’t broad based.

Australian Company Gross Profits Fell 1.3% QoQ Missing Forecast

Australia company profits chart showing a 1.3% quarterly decline versus a 0.5% forecast increase. Source: TradingView

AUD/JPY Carry Trade Carries On

AUD/JPY is pushing higher as the Renko bricks are testing previous resistance levels. The trend is constructed fairly well with the FX pair above the 21-EMA, 50-SMA and 500-SMA. The Supertrend is also flipped green. Momentum looks good as well with the RSI above 60 and point higher while the Z-Score SMA is trending higher but not yet at exhausted levels. These AUD/JPY moves should hopefully transition into the AUD/USD pair as well.

AUD/JPY Pushes Higher On The 0.225-Brick Renko As Momentum Strengthens

AUD/JPY 0.225-brick Renko chart showing price near 114.75 above MAs with RSI above 60. Source: TradingView

AUD/USD Renko Illustrates Demand Is Present

AUD/USD is starting to get back in trend with the Renko bricks back above the 21-EMA and 50-SMA. Ideally the 21-EMA should be above the 50-SMA but we’re getting there. The Supertrend remains flipped green too. RSI is above 50 and moving higher. The only thing is the Z-Score SMA which is trend lower. That means we may be bouncing around for a little longer before we start making the move higher in the FX pair.

AUD/USD Holds Above Short Term And Long Term MAs On The 0.0015-Brick Renko

AUD/USD 0.0015-brick Renko chart showing price near 0.7185 above the 21-EMA, 50-SMA and 500-SMA. Source: TradingView

The Verdict

Current Trend Direction: Bullish

Bias: Positive

Support Levels: 0.6833,0.71015,0.70720

Resistance Levels: 0.72715, 0.74070

Medium Term Path: The road to 0.72715 is a bit choppier than expected but we’re getting there. Once AUD/USD holds above 0.72715 we can then look forward to the 0.74070 level.

 

About the Author

Cedric Thompson, CMT, CFA, is an investment strategist with experience in asset management, corporate strategy, and multi-asset investing.

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