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Crude & Brent Oil Fundamental Analysis – August 14, 2015 – Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 13, 2015, 11:29 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: Crude Oil held gains to trade at 43.48 up by 19 cents but is expected to reverse course as the markets allow the dust to

Crude & Brent Oil Fundamental Analysis – August 14, 2015 – Forecast

Crude & Brent Oil Fundamental Analysis – August 14, 2015 - Forecast
Crude & Brent Oil Fundamental Analysis – August 14, 2015 - Forecast
Analysis and Recommendations:

Crude Oil held gains to trade at 43.48 up by 19 cents but is expected to reverse course as the markets allow the dust to settle. Brent Oil was up 51 cents at 50.69 and should fall as Saudi Arabia is committed to producing record amounts of oil this month. Strong signs for demand helped oil bounce and sent gasoline prices soaring Wednesday.

Demand for crude is increasing at its fastest pace in five years, the International Energy Agency said in its closely watched market report. The report helped calm fears of sluggish demand that had pushed U.S. oil to its lowest settlement in six years on Tuesday.

Gasoline stockpiles in the U.S. fell at a much faster rate than expected last week, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said. BP PLC is also taking down its largest unit at the Whiting, Ind., refinery for about a month, tightening gasoline markets in the Midwest, analysts and a broker say.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

WEEKLY

This Week in Petroleum
Release Schedule: Wednesday @ 1:00 p.m. EST (schedule)

Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update
Release Schedule: Monday between 4:00 and 5:00 p.m. EST (schedule)

Weekly Petroleum Status Report
Release Schedule: The wpsrsummary.pdf, overview.pdf, and Tables 1-14 in CSV and XLS formats, are released to the Web site after 10:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday.

Today’s economic releases:

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  NZD

 

Business NZ PMI (Jul)

53.5

 

55.2

 

 

  GBP

 

RICS House Price Balance (Jul)

44%

42%

40%

 

 

  AUD

 

RBA Assist Gov Kent Speaks  

 

 

 

 

 

  EUR

 

German CPI (MoM) (Jul)

0.2%

0.2%

0.2%

 

 

  EUR

 

Spanish CPI (YoY) (Jul)

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

 

 

  EUR

 

Spanish HICP (YoY) (Jul)

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.1%

 

 

  CHF

 

PPI (MoM) (Jul)

-0.3%

-0.2%

-0.1%

 

 

  EUR

 

Account of Monetary Policy Meeting  

 

 

 

 

 

Brent Oil(15 minutes)20150813065354
 
Crude Oil(15 minutes)20150813065333

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Friday, August 14, 2015

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  NZD

 

Core Retail Sales (QoQ)

 

0.7%

2.9%

 

 

  EUR

 

German GDP (QoQ) (Q2)  

 

0.5%

0.3%

 

 

  EUR

 

Core CPI (YoY) (Jul)

 

1.0%

1.0%

 

 

  EUR

 

CPI (MoM) (Jul)

 

-0.6%

0.0%

 

 

  EUR

 

GDP (QoQ) (Q2)  

 

0.4%

0.4%

 

 

  USD

 

PPI (MoM) (Jul)

 

0.1%

0.4%

 

 

  CAD

 

Manufacturing Sales (MoM) (Jun)

 

2.1%

0.1%

 

 

  USD

 

Industrial Production (MoM) (Jul)

 

0.3%

0.3%

 

 

  USD

 

Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Aug)  

 

93.5

93.1

   

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Aug 13 11:10 Italy Auctions BTPs/CCTeus

Aug 19 11:30 Germany Eur 5bn Sep 2017 Schatz

Aug 19 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

Aug 20 10:30 Spain Auctions Bonos/Obligaciones

Aug 20 11:30 UK Auctions 4.25% 2036 Gilt

Aug 21 17:30 Italy Announces details of CTZ/BTPei on 26 Aug

 

 

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