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Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis December 27, 2012, Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 21, 2015, 02:00 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: Crude Oil climbed today as the US dollar dipped. Crude broke above 90 dollars to trade at 90.83 as positive sentiment

Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis December 27, 2012, Forecast
Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis December 27, 2012, Forecast
Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis December 27, 2012, Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

Crude Oil climbed today as the US dollar dipped. Crude broke above 90 dollars to trade at 90.83 as positive sentiment flooded the markets on news that US lawmakers would resume negotiations tomorrow to resolve the US Fiscal Cliff. Overall activity in commodity markets was thin as most global financial markets are closed today on account of Boxing day holiday, except the US and Japan.  Japanese yen sank to a 20 month low against the US dollar after the newly elected Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe hinted some aggressive monetary easing with a view to weaken its currency. Bullion weakened slightly owing to relatively quiet trading session, as investors stayed sideline on indecision over the fiscal cliff in the U.S. News that lawmakers would take up negotiations tomorrow and word that President Obama was returning to Washington buoyed sentiment and sent the US dollar tumbling, which helped crude oil rebound.

Many european markets were closed for Boxing Day, so trading was light and the only news on the agenda were region data reports of lower level significance.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data December 26, 2012 actual v. forecast

Markets were closed on Christmas day and there were no economic releases or major data reports.

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

Dec. 26

 

JPY

 

 

2-Year JGB Auction 

0.094%

 

 

 

0.096% 

 

 

 

 

SGD

 

 

Singaporean Industrial Production (YoY) 

3.1%

 

4.8% 

 

-5.1% 

   

 

 

INR

 

 

Indian M3 Money Supply 

12.90%

 

 

 

12.50% 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

Richmond Mfg Index

5

 

12

 

9

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

Redbook (MoM) 

0.00 

 

 

 

-0.20% 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

S&P/CS Home Price Indices Composite – 20

4.3 

 

4.0% 

 

3.0% 

 

 

 

WEEKLY

  • This Week in Petroleum
    Release Schedule: Wednesday @ 1:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
  • Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update
    Release Schedule: Monday between 4:00 and 5:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
  • Weekly Petroleum Status Report
    Release Schedule: The wpsrsummary.pdf, overview.pdf, and Tables 1-14 in CSV and XLS formats, are released to the Web site after 10:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. All other PDF and HTML files are released to the Web site after 1:00 p.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. Appendix D is produced during the winter heating season, which extends from October through March of each year. For some weeks which include holidays, releases are delayed by one day. (schedule)

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP, CAD and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Dec. 27

09:30

GBP

BBA Mortgage Approvals 

34.6K 

33.0K 

 

13:30

USD

Initial Jobless Claims 

360K 

361K 

 

13:30

USD

Continuing Jobless Claims 

3200K 

3225K 

 

15:00

USD

CB Consumer Confidence 

70.5 

73.7 

 

15:00

USD

New Home Sales 

382K 

368K 

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Dec 27 10:10 Italy  

Dec 28 10:10 Italy  

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