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Crude Oil Hits October High After EIA Inventories Deficit

By:
Kenny Fisher
Published: Oct 24, 2019, 12:34 GMT+00:00

Crude oil has settled on Thursday, after posting strong gains on Wednesday. Brent crude has pushed above $60, a level with psychological significance.

Crude Oil Hits October High After EIA Inventories Deficit

Crude oil has leveled off in Thursday trade, after posting sharp gains on Wednesday. In the North American session, U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures are trading at $55.84, up $0.03, or 0.06% on the day. Brent crude futures are trading at $61.13, up $0.08 or 0.13%.

Brent Pushes Above $60

Brent oil closed above the symbolic $60 level on Wednesday. Brent closed the day at $61.28, its highest level since the end of September. However, according to analysts at Goldman Sachs, investors shouldn’t expect much more in gains from crude. The company said that it expected Brent crude prices to remain around the $60 level in 2020, barring any “meaningful” energy shocks. The report said that Brent futures were caught between “worsening growth expectations and rising Middle East tensions”. Notably, Goldman Sachs has lowered its demand for crude in 2019 and 2020. The forecast for 2019 was lowered to 950 thousand barrels per day, down from an earlier forecast of 1.25 million. The forecast for 2020 has been lowered to 1.25 million, down from 1.45 million. With oil supplies continuing to outpace demand, OPEC members will feel pressure to reduce demand in order to boost prices. Kuwait, which is OPEC’s four-largest producer, said that it is considering cuts to its oil production target. Other OPEC members are also feeling the pinch of low oil prices and will want to see lower production targets.

 

WTI Jumps After Crude Inventories Deficit

WTI futures jumped 2.8% on Wednesday, in response to a surprise deficit from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) crude inventories report. The EIA reported a deficit of 1.7 million barrels last week, compared to an estimate of 2.5 million. This marked the highest one-day gain since mid-September, since the huge gain of 12.8% on September 16, after the attacks on Saudi oil fields triggered a huge rise in crude prices.

WTIUSD 1-Day Chart

About the Author

Kenny is an experienced market analyst, with a focus on fundamental analysis. Kenny has over 15 years of experience across a broad range of markets and assets –forex, indices and commodities.

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