Advertisement
Advertisement

Crude Oil Price Forecast – Crude Oil Markets Rocked By Saudi Price War

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Mar 9, 2020, 17:08 UTC

Saudi Arabia announced that it was going to flood the market with oil in a bid to start to price war with Russia and United States shale producers. At this point, it’s difficult to imagine where we go next, but it certainly isn’t looking very bullish.

Crude Oil Price Forecast – Crude Oil Markets Rocked By Saudi Price War

WTI Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market gapped lower to break down below the $35 level, reach towards the $27.35 level before bouncing yet again to form a somewhat supportive looking candle. However, that massive gap above will offer resistance so while we could get a short-term bounce towards the $40 level, I do believe that there would be sellers near that level yet again. Any time there is a massive selloff like we have seen, there is almost always a dead cat bounce next. That seems to be what we are setting up to do. If we were to recapture the $41.00 level, then it’s possible that the market could go looking towards the $45 level after that. That being said though, it seems to be very unlikely to happen.

Crude Oil Video 10.03.20

Brent

Brent markets also gapped lower, reaching below the $40.00 level and then falling all the way down towards the $31 handle after that. The market has turned around to form a bit of a hammer, which of course is a very bullish sign but it’s very difficult to imagine a scenario where you should be a buyer because the Saudi’s price war will certainly cause havoc in the market. At this point, any bounce will probably be more or less along the lines of a “dead cat bounce”, which means that we will roll over again. At this point, I like the idea of fading short-term rallies that show signs of exhaustion. Where the bottom is, we don’t know quite yet.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

Did you find this article useful?

Advertisement