It wasn’t that long ago that we were hearing about the demise of crude oil, and how it was going to fall apart. However, most of the hedge fund traders that I speak to believe in the long term bullishness of this market. We had recently bounced from a couple of trendlines, and Tuesday showed it just how much underlying strength there is in this market.
While I don’t think that we are out of the woods quite yet, the massive swell of volume in the WTI market on Tuesday, along with busting through major resistance at the $66 level, tells me that there is underlying demand. As I record this, I would point out that we did struggle at the $66.50 level, the next barrier, but at the end of the day we had just sliced through one in the same candle. That might be a bit much to expect in one fell swoop. I do think at this point we are looking at a “buy on the dips” scenario. With this in mind, I suspect that this market will probably go looking towards $67.50 on the break out. If we do break down below the $65 level, that could change things, but right now it looks like there is plenty of volume underneath.
Brent markets also rallied, but not as stringently. The $73 level has offered a bit of resistance, and therefore I think it will remain a laggard to the WTI grade, as far as momentum is concerned. The two markets had diverged enough to cause this move and the necessity of it, so I think eventually they both will go higher but if I had to pick one or the other, right now it looks like West Texas Intermediate is the way to go.
Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.