The crude oil market has risen again in the early hours of Wednesday, as we are trying to see a return to the previous consolidation area. At this point, I suspect there is a only a matter of time before we see sellers in exhaustion.
The light sweet crude oil market has rallied a bit to break above the crucial $62 level, an area that is the top of the overall support zone that’s been holding this market together. Ultimately, if we can continue to rally, then the 50-day EMA comes into the picture near the $63.60 level, followed by $65 a barrel. Ultimately, we do have a lot of questions out there about demand and, more importantly, over supply. So, I do think the upside is limited. Signs of exhaustion, more likely than not, will continue to be sold as we just do not have a bullish enough scenario.
Brent looks very much the same with the 50 day EMA at the $67.20 level. Signs of exhaustion again will continue to be sold off, perhaps pushed back to the $65 level. If we can break above the $67.20 level, then it’s possible that Brent could go looking at the $69 level, which is the top of the overall range that we have been in. And of course, where the 200 day EMA currently resides, crude oil will continue to be very noisy as we worry about things like global slowdown concerns. And as long as that’s going to be the case, crude oil probably has a little bit of a drag on it. So, I think, again, the upside is somewhat limited, at least at this point in time, as there are a lot of concerns about the global economy and demand.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.