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Crude Oil Weekly Price Forecast – Crude oil markets show signs of exhaustion

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Aug 16, 2019, 16:55 UTC

The crude oil markets initially tried to rally during the week but failed as we did of forming a shooting star in both grades that we follow here at FX Empire. With this, crude oil looks like it still has many issues.

Crude Oil weekly chart, August 19, 2019

WTI Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market initially tried to rally during the week but struggled at the 50 week EMA. We have pulled back to form a massive shooting star, so it looks very likely that we are going to continue to struggle. Having said that, we are looking at a hammer from the previous week, so I think what we are going to see is a bit of consolidation. Longer-term traders may find this a bit difficult to deal with, but short-term traders could see a nice set up in this market in either direction at this point. Obviously, the $50 level is going to be significant support, just as the 50 week EMA which is pictured in red above should be resistance.

WTI Video 19.08.19

Brent

Brent markets also tried to rally but ended up forming a nasty looking candle. At this point, it shows that we are starting to see a lot of negativity and therefore I think we could go looking towards the $55 level again. To the upside, if we were to break above the top of the candle stick which is roughly at the $61 level, we may make a move towards the $65 level. All things being equal though, this is a market that looks weak and of course we have to worry about global growth and global demand. At this point I think we are probably going to continue to see more negativity than anything else. All things being equal, I am a seller of Brent.

Please let us know what you think in the comments below

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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