Crude oil markets initially plunged kick off the week but then turned around to form hammers in both grades that I follow. At this point, it looks like the buyers are coming back.
The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market fell rather hard during the course of the week, but as you can see, we have turned around to show signs of life again. By forming a hammer, and at one point testing the $70 level, it suggests that the market is trying to save itself, as we have formed a little bit of a “double bottom” near the $65 level, which I now think of as a major support level. With this, if we can break above the $70 level it is likely that this market will go looking towards the top of the candlestick from the previous week which has the market looking at the $74 level.
Brent markets have gone back and forth as well, as the Delta variant picking up continues to have traders thinking that perhaps demand could weaken. However, it seems as if they are willing to look through that right now, as the market is trying to figure out a way to get long again. At this point, if we can break above the top of the candlestick for the week, it is very likely that we go looking towards the top of the previous week near the $75 level which is also a large, round, psychologically significant figure. Nonetheless, I think that you can probably count on a lot of choppy behavior and of course you should pay close attention to the US dollar, because it can work against the value of commodities as well, including the crude oil market obviously.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.