Amid geopolitical tension, Stoxx 600 and DAX rose on sector gains, while FTSE 100 lifted on HSBC's report and rate pause hopes.
European markets began the week on an optimistic note despite Middle East tensions and inflation worries. The Stoxx 600 rose 0.65% as of 10:06 GMT, led by gains in media and travel stocks. On the downside, the index is headed for a 4.6% monthly dip, affected by lackluster earnings and the prospect of sustained high interest rates. DAX also opened higher, with investors awaiting key central bank decisions and data releases.
Market players are keenly observing this week’s flurry of central bank meetings, starting with the Bank of Japan, followed by the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. The outcomes could shed light on the future trajectory of interest rates. Recent corporate earnings have been unimpressive, contributing to a global market slump, as indicated by the MSCI World Equity Index’s marginal gain of 0.3%.
Amid an underwhelming earnings season featuring Apple, Airbnb, and others, investors are watching macroeconomic indicators. In Germany, due to falling inflation, bond yields decreased, with the 10-year yield shedding 5 basis points to stand at 2.787%. The Federal Reserve is anticipated to maintain its current policy stance given the surge in market borrowing costs.
Across the Channel, the FTSE 100 edged up 0.8%, bolstered by HSBC’s third-quarter results and a $3 billion share buyback announcement. The Bank of England is expected to hold interest rates at 15-year highs, further boosting sentiment. Ascential, the information and analytics firm, saw its stock skyrocket after a $1.70 billion unit sale, driving the mid-cap FTSE 250 index up 0.9%.
Given the current geopolitical landscape and upcoming central bank meetings, the market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic. In Europe, the DAX and Stoxx 600 indices are poised for modest gains, while the FTSE 100 is buoyed by corporate news and rate pause expectations. However, whether this optimism can offset broader economic concerns remains to be seen.
The DAX Index’s current daily price of 14754.05 is below both its 200-day moving average of 15642.46 and its 50-day moving average of 15423.66, suggesting a bearish sentiment.
The price is also trading below minor resistance at 14908.01 and main resistance at 15096.75, further confirming bearish conditions.
However, it’s worth noting that the current price is slightly higher than the previous daily close of 14687.41, which could indicate a minor bullish reversal in the short term.
Despite this, the overall technical picture leans bearish, warranting caution for those looking to take long positions.
The FTSE 100 Index is currently trading at 7350.92, which is below both its 200-day and 50-day moving averages, at 7633.41 and 7505.82, respectively. This positioning generally signals a bearish market sentiment. These moving averages, could act as potential resistance points for any upward movement.
Overall, the technical setup suggests a bearish bias for the FTSE 100 Index.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.