DAX Index investors cautiously bullish amid varied sectors and Fed policy, with FTSE pressured by oil prices and fiscal prospects.
European markets showed mixed responses on Tuesday, with investors adopting a wait-and-see approach. The Stoxx 600 index slightly dipped, while Germany’s DAX Index edged higher, and the UK’s FTSE 100 Index fell. The overarching sentiment in Europe remained cautiously optimistic as the U.S. Federal Reserve’s potential halt on interest rate hikes influenced the markets.
The day saw varied sectoral performances across Europe. Telecom and energy sectors experienced declines, counterbalanced by gains in materials and construction. Notably, shares of Sonova and Rheinmetall saw significant rises, while TeamViewer experienced a steep decline following a share placement at a discount.
Investors are closely following the aftermath of earnings season, with particular attention to the Federal Reserve’s upcoming minutes release. These minutes are expected to shed light on future interest rate policies, potentially confirming market expectations of a pause in rate hikes.
In the UK, the FTSE 100 index was pressured by declining oil prices and a stronger sterling. Despite this, improved government borrowing figures have raised prospects for potential tax cuts in the upcoming budget update, influencing market dynamics.
While the market is optimistic about the Fed’s policy, the European Central Bank (ECB) maintains a different tone, with officials indicating no immediate plans for rate cuts. Investors are monitoring these differing central bank approaches, which are critical in shaping short-term market expectations.
The central banks may not be lowering rates yet, but the anticipation of such event is underpinning European and UK stocks.
The DAX Index, with a current daily price of 15911.48, is trading above both its 200-day moving average (15656.54) and 50-day moving average (15302.69), indicating a bullish trend. This position above key moving averages suggests sustained upward momentum.
The index is also hovering near the minor resistance level of 15993.10, suggesting the potential for further upside if this level is breached. However, the proximity to this resistance level also raises the possibility of a pullback, especially if the resistance holds.
Currently, the DAX Index maintains a bullish market sentiment, underpinned by its stance above major support levels and moving averages, but the nearness to the minor resistance level warrants caution.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.