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DAX Index, FTSE 100, STOXX 600: Markets Diverge as Key Mergers Set the Tone

By:
James Hyerczyk
Published: Dec 18, 2023, 12:14 GMT+00:00

DAX Index, FTSE-100 putting in a mixed performance; OCI's sale, Vodafone's merger, and ECB's rate hold sway market sentiment and performance.

FTSE-100 Index, DAX Index, Stoxx 600

Highlights

  • DAX, Stoxx 600 Down; FTSE 100 Up
  • OCI, Vodafone Lead Market Gains
  • ECB Holds Rates, Impacts Market Sentiment

European Stocks Display Mixed Signals Amid Global Market Shifts

European stock markets commenced the week with varied performances. Germany’s DAX and the Stoxx 600 experienced declines, while the UK’s FTSE 100 saw an uptick. This mixed activity follows five consecutive weeks of gains, illustrating a complex market landscape.

At 11:11 GMT, the DAX Index is trading 16696.31, down 55.13 or -0.33%. The FTSE 100 is at 7622.12, up 45.76 or +0.50% and the Stoxx 600 is trading 476.19, down 0.42 or -0.09%.

DAX and Stoxx 600: A Closer Look

The Stoxx 600 dipped slightly, influenced by a drop in construction and material stocks, offset by gains in the mining sector. In contrast, the DAX responded to the ECB’s recent decisions, including holding rates steady and revising growth and inflation forecasts. Surprisingly, German business sentiment fell in December, as indicated by the Ifo business climate index.

Market Movers: OCI and Vodafone Lead Gains

Key market movers include OCI, witnessing a sharp rise after selling its stake in Iowa Fertilizer Company, and Vodafone, benefiting from a proposed merger of its Italian business. Conversely, Nordnet shares declined following a downgrade by Barclays.

Sectoral Performance and ECB’s Stance

Automobile and luxury stocks experienced a downturn, while energy stocks gained on higher crude prices. The ECB’s stance on maintaining higher interest rates until March casts a shadow over early rate cut expectations.

FTSE 100: Energy and Telecom Sectors Strengthen

The FTSE 100’s progress was bolstered by gains in heavyweight energy stocks and a significant rise in Vodafone shares. However, precious metal miners faced a setback, with Fresnillo shares dropping notably.

In conclusion, while the European markets exhibit a mixed picture, key sectoral movements and corporate developments are shaping the short-term outlook, with investors closely monitoring upcoming economic data and central bank decisions for further direction.

DAX Index Technical Analysis

Daily DAX Index

The DAX Index, positioned at 16690.73, shows bullish characteristics, as it remains above its 200-day (15750.88) and 50-day (15685.35) moving averages. This indicates a strong, sustained uptrend. The index’s current level, higher than the main support at 16208.93, suggests stability and potential for maintaining its upward trajectory.

However, its recent decline from a major high, coupled with the absence of established resistance levels, suggests the market is in a correction phase. This scenario often occurs after reaching significant highs and can be seen as a natural market adjustment.

Despite this slight pullback, the overall market sentiment remains bullish, indicating investor optimism and the likelihood of continued growth in the medium to long term.

FTSE 100 Index Technical Analysis

Daily FTSE 100 Index

The FTSE 100 Index, at 7625.51, shows bullish momentum as it stands above both its 200-day and 50-day moving averages, at 7563.92 and 7481.99 respectively. This positioning indicates a sustained positive trend over both medium and long-term periods.

The index is trading above the main support level of 7401.87 and slightly below the minor resistance level of 7687.48. It’s also approaching the critical trend line resistance at 7626.00. Successfully breaking above this trend line resistance could signify a potential for further upside, with the next significant resistance level at 7804.79.

Currently, the market sentiment for the FTSE 100 leans towards bullish, underpinned by its performance relative to key moving averages and support levels, suggesting a likelihood of continued positive movement in the short term.

About the Author

James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.

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