Based on the current price, the direction of the Dow the rest of the session is likely to be determined by trader reaction to 24157.
June E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are expected to open over 300 points higher after upbeat comments from Chinese President Xi Jinping helped ease concerns over a potential trade war between the U.S. and China.
The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart. However, prices have been consolidating for three days, suggesting a slight loss in upside momentum.
A trade through 24596 will reaffirm the uptrend. This could fuel a move into the minor top at 24998. This price is the trigger point for an even stronger rally into 25535.
The minor trend is also up. A trade through 23700 will change the minor trend to down. A move through 23306 changes the main trend to down.
Looking at the current price, the nearest support is a Fibonacci level at 24157. This is followed closely by a short retracement zone at 23951 to 23799.
On the upside, the first target is a 50% level at 24477, followed by a Fibonacci level at 24673 and a major 50% level at 24923.
Based on the current price, the direction of the Dow the rest of the session is likely to be determined by trader reaction to 24157.
A sustained move over 24157 will indicate the presence of buyers. This could create enough upside momentum to fuel a rally into 24477, 24596 and 24673. The rally will begin to accelerate to the upside on a sustained move over 24673 with the next target 24923.
A sustained move under 24157 will signal the presence of sellers. This could trigger a fast break into 23951 then 23799.
Crossing to the weak side of 23799 will indicate the selling is getting stronger. This could trigger a break into 23700. If this price fails then we’re likely to see an eventual test of the major bottoms at 23306 and 23122.
James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.