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James Hyerczyk
E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average

September E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are inching higher in a lackluster trade on Thursday as investors await the passing of a key fiscal stimulus bill in Congress and ahead of the release of the July U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls figures on Friday. Meanwhile, the latest initial jobless claims report showed 31.3 million Americans were receiving unemployment checks in mid-July.

At 16:56 GMT, September E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are trading 27120, up 65 or +0.24%.

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Daily September E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average

Daily Swing Chart Technical Analysis

The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart. The uptrend was reaffirmed on Thursday when buyers took out the previous day’s high. The main trend changes to down on a move through the nearest swing bottom at 25881.

The short-term range is 27466 to 24409. Its retracement zone at 26298 to 25938 is controlling the near-term direction of the Dow. This zone is also support.


Daily Swing Chart Technical Forecast

Based on the current price action, the direction of the September E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average into the close is likely to be determined by trader reaction to yesterday’s close at 27055.

Bullish Scenario

A sustained move over 27055 will indicate the presence of buyers. If this continues to generate enough upside momentum, we could see a short-term test of the June 9 main top at 27466. This is the last major barrier before the all-time high reached in February.

Bearish Scenario

A sustained move under 27055 will signal the presence of sellers. This will also put the Dow in a position to form a potentially bearish closing price reversal top. If confirmed, the chart pattern could trigger the start of a 2 to 3 day correction, or a minimum 50% retracement of the current rally.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

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