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EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts – U.S. Dollar Retreats As Initial Jobless Claims Rise

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Nov 16, 2023, 16:22 GMT+00:00

The disappointing NAHB Housing Market Index report served as an additional negative catalyst for the American currency.

EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts

Key Insights

  • EUR/USD settled above the 1.0850 level as traders reacted to U.S. economic data. 
  • USD/CAD rebounded towards 1.3750 as oil markets suffered a strong sell-off. 
  • USD/JPY moved lower as Japan’s exports exceeded analyst expectations. 

U.S. Dollar

DXY
DXY 161123 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index is losing ground as traders focus on the pullback in Treasury yields. The weaker-than-expected NAHB Housing Market Index report and rising Initial Jobless Claims put additional pressure on the American currency today.

From the technical point of view, U.S. Dollar Index failed to settle above the 104.50 level and is sliding towards the nearest support at 103.50 – 103.75.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 161123 4h Chart

EUR/USD gains ground as traders react to the economic data from the U.S. From a big picture point of view, traders bet that Fed would be more dovish than previously expected.

If EUR/USD manages to climb above the 1.0900 level, it will head towards the next resistance at 1.0925 – 1.0950.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 161123 4h Chart

GBP/USD is also moving higher as traders focus on the general weakness of the U.S. dollar.

GBP/USD found support in the 1.2370 – 1.2410 range and is moving towards the recent highs near the 1.2500 level.

USD/CAD

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 161123 4h Chart

USD/CAD rebounds as oil prices dive amid concerns about the strength of demand in China.

If USD/CAD settles above the 50 MA at 1.3758, it will move towards the next resistance level, which is located in the 1.3800 – 1.3830 range.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 161123 4h Chart

USD/JPY pulls back as traders react to the better-than-expected economic reports from Japan. The country’s exports increased by 1.6% in October, compared to analyst consensus of 1.2%.

If USD/JPY settles below the psychologically important 150.00 level, it may quickly get to the test of the nearest support at 148.00 – 149.00.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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