Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/CHF gained an amazing 187 points to trade at 1.0404 as the euro seemed to search for a new trading range now that
The EUR/CHF gained an amazing 187 points to trade at 1.0404 as the euro seemed to search for a new trading range now that all the major market data for the month has been released. The euro continues to gain momentum as traders evaluate the effects of the ECB new stimulus package on the currency. For the past seven sessions, the franc has been declining steadily across the board. From the strongest daily close after the SNB action, the dollar has corrected 7.34%, pound 7.14% and yen 7.10%, as of Thursday’s weakest point. The correction against euro was just 5.6%.
The franc is still holding much of its strength versus majors, and with the highest margin against the euro. At its weakest on Thursday, the Swiss franc stood 10.21% up against the dollar, 10.86% against Sterling and 10.81% versus the yen.
Against the euro, the Swiss currency is still 14.84% stronger from where it had closed a day before the SNB action.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Today’s economic releases actual vs. forecast:
Cur. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|||
JPY |
Retail Sales (YoY) (Dec) |
0.2% |
0.9% |
0.5% |
|||
GBP |
Nationwide HPI (MoM) |
0.3% |
0.3% |
0.2% |
|
||
EUR |
Ger. Unemployment |
-9K |
-10K |
-25K |
|||
EUR |
Ger. Unemployment |
6.5% |
6.5% |
6.6% |
|||
EUR |
German CPI (MoM) |
|
-0.8% |
0.0% |
|
||
USD |
Initial Jobless Claims |
|
300K |
307K |
|
||
USD |
Pending Home Sales) |
|
0.5% |
0.8% |
Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:
Friday, January 30th
Cur. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
||
NZD |
Building Consents |
|
|
10.0% |
||
JPY |
Household Spending |
|
0.3% |
0.4% |
||
JPY |
National Core CPI (YoY) |
|
2.6% |
2.7% |
||
JPY |
Industrial Production |
|
1.3% |
-0.5% |
||
AUD |
PPI (QoQ) (Q4) |
|
0.3% |
0.2% |
||
EUR |
German Retail Sales |
|
0.3% |
1.0% |
||
EUR |
Core CPI (YoY) |
|
0.6% |
0.7% |
||
EUR |
CPI (YoY) (Jan) |
|
-0.5% |
-0.2% |
||
EUR |
Unemployment Rate |
|
11.5% |
11.5% |
||
USD |
GDP (QoQ) (Q4) |
|
3.0% |
5.0% |
||
CAD |
GDP (MoM) (Nov) |
|
-0.1% |
0.3% |
||
USD |
Chicago PMI (Jan) |
|
57.5 |
58.3 |
||
USD |
Michigan Consumer |
|
98.2 |
98.2 |
Government Bond Auctions
Date Country Auction
Feb 02 Norway Details bond auction on 4 Feb
Feb 04 Norway Holds bond auction
Feb 04 UK Auctions I/L Gilt
Feb 04 US Announces 3/10 year Notes, plus 30-yr Bond
Feb 04 Sweden Details bond auction on 11 Feb
Feb 05 Spain Auctions
Feb 05 France Auctions OATs