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EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis December 18, 2012, Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 21, 2015, 01:00 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/GBP saw the euro lose a bit of momentum with little in the way of eco data and a light news flow the pair just moved

EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis December 18, 2012, Forecast

EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis December 18, 2012, Forecast
EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis December 18, 2012, Forecast
Analysis and Recommendations:

The EUR/GBP saw the euro lose a bit of momentum with little in the way of eco data and a light news flow the pair just moved with global sentiment to trade at 0.8117 off by 0.0021. Investors will be focusing on a speech from European Central Bank President Mario Draghi, who is due to speak later today on monetary policy, for hints on whether the ECB could cut euro zone interest rates. That could weigh on the single currency against the pound.

UK data later this week may also add to expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will hold off from more quantitative easing for the time being and help lift sterling, analysts said.

Investors will look to inflation data on Tuesday and BoE policy meeting minutes on Wednesday for clues on the chances of it authorizing more bond buying. Retail sales data is also due, on Thursday.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data December 17, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

Dec. 17

 

GBP

 

 

Rightmove House Price Index (MoM) 

-3.3%

 

 

 

-2.6% 

 

 

 

 

TRY

 

 

Turkish Quarterly Unemployment Rate 

9.10%

 

9.00% 

 

8.80% 

 

 

 

 

CAD

 

 

Foreign Securities Purchases 

13.26B

 

10.80B 

 

14.12B 

   

 

 

USD

 

 

NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 

-8.1

 

-1.0 

 

-5.2 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

TIC Net Long-Term Transactions 

1.3B

 

25.0B 

 

3.2B 

   

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

 Dec. 18

09:30

GBP

CPI (YoY) 

2.6%

2.7%

 

09:30

GBP

PPI Input (MoM) 

-0.1%

0.4%

 

09:30

GBP

CPI (MoM) 

0.2%

0.5%

 

09:30

GBP

PPI Input (YoY) 

-0.5%

0.1%

 

13:30

USD

Current Account 

-103.5B

-117.4B

Dec. 19

09:00

EUR

German Ifo Business Climate Index 

102.0

101.4

 

09:00

EUR

German Current Assessment 

108.0

108.1

 

09:00

EUR

German Business Expectations 

96.3

95.2

 

11:00

GBP

CBI Distributive Trades Survey 

25

33

 

13:30

USD

Building Permits 

0.875M

0.868M

 

13:30

USD

Housing Starts 

0.870M

0.894M

Dec. 20 

09:30

GBP

Retail Sales (MoM) 

0.3%

-0.8%

 

09:30

GBP

Retail Sales (YoY) 

1.5%

0.6%

Dec. 21

07:00

EUR

GfK German Consumer Climate 

5.9

5.9

 

09:30

GBP

Current Account 

-14.0B

-20.8B

 

09:30

GBP

GDP (QoQ) 

1.0%

1.0%

 

09:30

GBP

GDP (YoY) 

-0.1%

-0.1%

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Dec 18 01:30 Japan 

Dec 18 09:30 Spain 

Dec 18 10:10 Greece 

Dec 18 18:00 US 

Dec 19 18:00 US 

Dec 20 10:30 UK 

Dec 20 16:30 Italy  

Dec 20 18:00 US 

Dec 21 16:30 Italy  

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