Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/GBP dipped 11 points as the euro got hit hard after France closed its borders after Friday night’s massive terror
The EUR/GBP dipped 11 points as the euro got hit hard after France closed its borders after Friday night’s massive terror attacks. The pound declined a bit in sympathy to the problems. The European Central Bank is grappling with weak prices pressures in the 19-nation bloc. ECB President Mario Draghi has all but promised to ease monetary policy in December. The figures come just three days after data showed euro-area growth slowed in the third quarter. Even before the attacks, the euro had been under pressure from expectations the ECB will step up monetary easing next month, possibly cutting interest rates deeper into negative levels and buying more assets under its quantitative easing program.
The euro hit a 6 1/2-month low against the yen and was pinned down near 7-month troughs against the dollar on Monday after the deadly attacks in Paris led to a bout of global risk aversion and kept investors cautious on the common currency.
The euro fell to a three-month low against the British pound as the single currency came under pressure after the deadly attacks in Paris late last week.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Today’s economic releases:
Cur. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|||
NZD |
Core Retail Sales (QoQ) |
1.0% |
1.4% |
0.0% |
|||
NZD |
Retail Sales (QoQ) (Q3) |
1.6% |
1.3% |
0.1% |
|
||
JPY |
GDP (YoY) (Q3) |
-0.8% |
-0.2% |
-1.2% |
|
||
JPY |
GDP (QoQ) (Q3) |
-0.2% |
-0.1% |
-0.3% |
|
||
EUR |
Core CPI (YoY) (Oct) |
1.1% |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
||
EUR |
CPI (MoM) (Oct) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
||
EUR |
CPI (YoY) (Oct) |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
|
||
EUR |
ECB President Draghi Speaks |
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|
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Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:
Tuesday, November 17, 2015
Cur. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
||
GBP |
CPI (MoM) (Oct) |
|
0.1% |
-0.1% |
||
GBP |
CPI (YoY) (Oct) |
|
-0.1% |
-0.1% |
||
GBP |
PPI Input (MoM) (Oct) |
|
0.2% |
0.6% |
||
EUR |
German ZEW Current Conditions |
|
55.5 |
55.2 |
||
EUR |
German ZEW Economic Sentiment |
|
6.0 |
1.9 |
||
USD |
Core CPI (YoY) (Oct) |
|
1.9% |
1.9% |
||
USD |
Core CPI (MoM) (Oct) |
|
0.2% |
0.2% |
||
USD |
CPI (MoM) (Oct) |
|
0.2% |
-0.2% |
||
USD |
Industrial Production (MoM) (Oct) |
|
0.1% |
-0.2% |
Government Bond Auctions
Date Time Country
Nov 18 11:30 Germany New Eur 5bn Dec 2017 Schatz
Nov 18 11:30 UK 2% 2025 Gilt auction
Nov 18 11:30 Portugal Eur 1-1.25bn; bond auction
Nov 18 16:30 Sweden Announces details of Bond on 25 Nov
Nov 18 N/A Holland Announces details of Bond on 24 Nov
Nov 19 10:30 Spain 0.25% Apr 2018 Bono, 1.15% Jul 2020 Bono, 5.4% Jan 2023
Nov 19 10:50 France Eur 7-8bn; 4.25% Oct 2018 OAT, 0.25% Nov 2020 OAT, 2.25%
Nov 19 11:50 France Eur 1-1.5bn; 0.25% Jul 2024, 1.85% Jul 2027, 3.15% Jul 2032
Nov 19 N/A US Holds 10-year TIPS auction
Nov 20 16:30 Italy Announces details of CTZ/BTPei on 25 Nov
Nov 23 12:00 Belgium Auctions OLOs
Nov 23 N/A US Holds 2-year note auction
Nov 24 17:30 Italy Announces details of BTPs/CCTeu on 27 Nov
Nov 24 N/A Holland Eur 1.0-2.0bn 0.25% Jul 2025 DSL
Nov 24 N/A US Holds 5-year note auction
Nov 25 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction
Nov 25 11:10 Italy Auctions CTZ/BTPei
Nov 25 11:30 Germany Eur 3bn 1.0% Aug 2025 Bund
Nov 25 N/A US Holds 2-year FRN auction
Nov 25 N/A US Holds 7-year note auction
Nov 26 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction
Nov 27 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction
Nov 27 11:10 Italy Auctions BTPs/CCTeus