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EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis September 4, 2013 Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 22, 2015, 09:00 GMT+00:00

Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/GBP   is trading at 0.8468 down by 20 points after UK construction PMI reported way above forecast.   The pound rose

EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis September 4, 2013 Forecast

eurgbp tuesday bns
Analysis and Recommendations:

The EUR/GBP   is trading at 0.8468 down by 20 points after UK construction PMI reported way above forecast.   The pound rose for a fifth day versus the euro as a report showed a gauge of U.K. construction based on a survey of purchasing managers increased for a fourth month in August, reaching the highest in almost six years. Sterling touched a three-month high versus the common currency before Bank of England policy makers meet this week. U.K. construction activity climbed to 59.1 last month from 57 in July, Markit Economics and the Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply said. The median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey was 56.9. The pound also rose as Verizon Communications Inc. agreed to buy Vodafone Group Plc (VOD)’s 45 percent stake in Verizon Wireless for $130 billion. As traders return from the long holiday weekend, Syria remains a distant past with congress in recess until September 9th, traders are now focusing on the nonfarm payroll report due on Friday after the Bank of England and ECB meetings on Thursday.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data September 3, 2013 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

Sep. 03

 

AUD

 

 

Current Account 

-9.4B

 

-8.7B 

 

-8.7B 

   

 

 

AUD

 

 

Retail Sales (MoM) 

0.1%

 

0.4% 

 

0.0% 

 

 

 

 

AUD

 

 

Interest Rate Decision 

2.50%

 

2.50% 

 

2.50% 

 

 

 

 

AUD

 

 

RBA Rate Statement 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CHF

 

 

Swiss GDP (QoQ) 

0.5%

 

0.3% 

 

0.6% 

 

 

 

 

EUR

 

 

Spanish Unemployment Change 

0.0K

 

-5.2K 

 

-64.9K 

 

 

 

 

GBP

 

 

Construction PMI 

59.1

 

58.3 

 

57.0 

 

 

 

 

CAD

 

 

RBC Manufacturing PMI 

 

 

 

 

52.0 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

ISM Manufacturing Index 

 

 

54.0 

 

55.4 

   

 

eurgbp 0903bnsnla

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

 Sep. 04

09:28

GBP

Services PMI 

59.0

60.2

 

10:00

EUR

GDP (QoQ) 

0.3%

0.3%

 

10:00

EUR

Retail Sales (MoM) 

0.4%

-0.5%

 

13:30

USD

Trade Balance 

-38.2B

-34.2B

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Sep 04 09:10 Sweden

Sep 04 09:30 Germany

Sep 05 08:30 Spain

Sep 05 08:50 France

Sep 05 15:00 US

Sep 06 15:30 Italy

 

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