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EUR/JPY Fundamental Analysis – November 12, 2015 – Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Nov 11, 2015, 04:48 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/JPY is trading at 1.3225 gaining 17 points as the euro recovered after falling to a new low on Tuesday. Both

EUR/JPY Fundamental Analysis – November 12, 2015 – Forecast

eurjpy wednesday bnsnla
Analysis and Recommendations:

The EUR/JPY is trading at 1.3225 gaining 17 points as the euro recovered after falling to a new low on Tuesday. Both currencies are weak as central banks in both countries are considering additional stimulus in December.  A survey report from Japan’s Cabinet Office showed the first improvement in three months in sentiment among so-called economy watchers for October.

If gross domestic product data for July-September show the economy remains sluggish, stimulus measures are expected to be announced by the end of this month, a major securities firm official said. The data is due for release Monday.

At Wednesday’s meeting of the Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy, the group was also set to call for measures to boost the productivity of small and medium-size firms and thereby help them to raise wages. The members will urge the state to slash corporate tax to below 30 percent next fiscal year, the sources said.

The government has pledged to reduce corporate income tax from the current rate of 32.11 percent in stages. It is relatively high by international standards, and reducing it would help companies compete better globally.

At last week’s council meeting, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe instructed ministers to compile new economic stimulus measures to attain the government’s GDP goals.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our  weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks.

Today’s economic releases:

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  NZD

 

RBNZ Gov Wheeler Speaks  

 

 

 

 

 

  USD

 

API Weekly Crude Oil Stock

6.300M

0.500M

2.800M

 

 

  AUD

 

Westpac Consumer Sentiment

3.9%

 

4.2%

 

 

  CNY

 

Fixed Asset Investment (YoY) (Oct)

 

10.2%

10.3%

 

 

  CNY

 

Industrial Production (YoY) (Oct)

 

5.8%

5.7%

   

 

eurjpy

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Thursday, November 12, 2015

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  NZD

 

Business NZ PMI (Oct)

 

 

55.4

 

 

  GBP

 

RICS House Price Balance (Oct)

 

45%

44%

 

 

  AUD

 

Unemployment Rate (Oct)

 

6.2%

6.2%

 

 

  EUR

 

German CPI (MoM) (Oct)

 

0.0%

0.0%

 

 

  EUR

 

Industrial Production (MoM) (Sep)

 

-0.1%

-0.5%

 

 

  USD

 

Initial Jobless Claims

 

270K

276K

 

 

  USD

 

FOMC Member Bullard Speaks  

 

 

 

 

 

  USD

 

JOLTs Job Openings (Sep)

 

5.370M

5.370M

 

 

  USD

 

Crude Oil Inventories

 

0.752M

2.847M

 

 

  USD

 

FOMC Member Dudley Speaks  

 

 

 

 

 

  USD

 

Federal Budget Balance (Oct)

 

-130.0B

91.0B

   

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Nov 11 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

Nov 11 11:30 Germany Eur 3bn 0.25% Oct 2020 Bobl

Nov 11 12:15 Norway Holds bond auction

Nov 12 11:10 Italy Auctions BTPs/CCTeus

Nov 12 11:30 UK 4.25% 2039 Gilt auction

Nov 12 19:00 US Holds 30-year bond auction

Nov 18 11:30 Germany New Eur 5bn Dec 2017 Schatz

Nov 18 10:30 UK 2% 2025 Gilt auction

Nov 18 10:30 Portugal Eur 1-1.25bn; bond auction

Nov 18 15:30 Sweden Announces details of Bond on 25 Nov

Nov 18 N/A Holland Announces details of Bond on 24 Nov

Nov 19 09:30 Spain Auctions Bonos/Obligaciones

Nov 19 10:50 France Auctions BTANs

Nov 19 11:50 France Auctions OATi

Nov 19 N/A US Holds 10-year TIPS auction

Nov 20 16:30 Italy Announces details of CTZ/BTPei on 25 Nov

 

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