The 50 day EMA sits just above the current pricing of the market, so the question now is whether or not we can break above that indicator?
The British pound has rallied a bit during the course of the session on Monday, bouncing from the ¥152.50 level. This is an area that of course is a significant area that we had seen a lot of resistance at previously, so it does make a certain amount of sense that we would see it offer some resistance. That being said though, the market was to break above the 50 day EMA, then I think the market goes looking towards the ¥155 level. All things been equal, this is a market that desperately needed a pullback and with the Bank of England choosing not to taper its bond purchases last week was the excuse the market use.
At this point, I do think that the market is likely to continue seeing a little bit of noisy trading, but as long as we can stay above the ¥152.50 level, I do think that you have to look at this as a potential “buy on the dips” chart on short-term time frames. If we were to break down below the ¥152.50 level, then we have to ask questions as to whether or not the trend can continue? If we break down below the ¥150 level, that probably ends the overall uptrend. That being said, even though we have had a significant pullback, I still look at this through the prism of a market that has been in an uptrend for quite some time. This is a matter of finding a bit of value, and now it comes down to whether or not risk appetite can drive this pair to the upside. Clearing the ¥155 level would be a very strong sign.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.