The currency markets are calm on Friday. The British pound and Canadian dollar are trading sideways, while EUR/GBP has posted slight gains.
GBP/USD is flat on Friday. In the European session, the pair is trading at 1.2834, down 0.03% on the day.
It was another week full of drama in the British parliament. Lawmakers voted down a government bill which contained a tight timetable to pass a withdrawal deal by October 31, the date the U.K. is scheduled to leave the European Union. A defiant Prime Minister Boris Johnson has pulled the Brexit bill and wants a December election if parliament cannot solve the impasse. The pound has jumped over 4% in October on hopes that a withdrawal agreement had been achieved, but this optimism has proven premature. A no-deal exit is still a possibility, and if investors fear that a deal will not be reached in time, the pound could lose some of its luster and the pound-to-dollar ratio could fall.
GBP/USD broke below support at 1.2870 on Thursday. This line has been under pressure throughout the week. The 50-EMA is at 1.2810, just below the pair’s current level. If GBP/USD breaks below this line, GBP/USD could be headed to lower ground.
USD/CAD is trading sideways in Friday’s North American session. The pair is trading at 1.3063, down 0.06% on the day.
USD/CAD has tested support at 1.3070 on Friday. This line has been under pressure throughout the week. The primary trend has been down, and I would not be surprised if the USD/CAD can close the Friday session below this line. Below, we find support at 1.3020, which has held since mid-July.
EUR/GBP has posted slight gains on Friday. In the European session, the pair is trading at 0.8646, up 0.21% on the day.
The eurozone economic picture is cloudy, and consumers are worried. German GfK Consumer Confidence sagged to 9.6 in October, down from 9.9 a month earlier. The indicator has steadily fallen in 2019 – the January release came in at 10.8 points.
EUR/GBP has been putting on pressure on resistance at 0.8647 since mid-October. However, the pair has been unable to sustain an upward trend and break past this line. On the upside, we find resistance at the round number of 0.8700. On the downside, there is support at 0.8580, which was tested earlier in the week.
Kenny is an experienced market analyst, with a focus on fundamental analysis. Kenny has over 15 years of experience across a broad range of markets and assets –forex, indices and commodities.