Analysis and Recommendations: The GBP/USD is trading at 1.6110 gaining momentum after the Bank of England held its key lending rates and monetary policy.
The GBP/USD is trading at 1.6110 gaining momentum after the Bank of England held its key lending rates and monetary policy. Yesterday, Chancellor Osborne presented his Autumn statement which was quite negative and left the markets stressed which was followed by the National Statistical Agency downgrading growth for next year. Also rating agencies are now reviewing the AAA rating for the UK which has been on a negative outlook for a while.
Now market participants will have to wait until December 19th for the BoE minutes in order to see if there was an increase in the number of votes calling for accommodation (November had one). In the UK if there are no changes to rates or policies the bank is exempt from issuing a statement. The final GBP risk event for this week will be tomorrow’s industrial production data, with expectations for an improvement following last month’s weak print
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data December 6, 2012 actual v. forecast
Date |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
|
Forecast |
|
Previous |
|
|
Dec. 06 |
|
AUD |
|
|
Employment Change |
13.9K |
|
0.2K |
|
10.1K |
||
|
|
AUD |
|
|
Unemployment Rate |
5.2% |
|
5.5% |
|
5.4% |
|
|
|
|
CHF |
|
|
Unemployment Rate |
3.0% |
|
3.0% |
|
3.0% |
|
|
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Halifax House Price Index (MoM) |
1.0% |
|
0.2% |
|
-0.1% |
||
|
|
CHF |
|
|
CPI (MoM) |
-0.3% |
|
0.0% |
|
0.1% |
|
|
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Trade Balance |
-9.5B |
|
-8.8B |
|
-8.4B |
||
|
|
EUR |
|
|
GDP (QoQ) |
-0.1% |
|
-0.1% |
|
-0.1% |
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
German Factory Orders (MoM) |
3.9% |
|
0.9% |
|
-2.4% |
||
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Interest Rate Decision |
0.50% |
|
0.50% |
|
0.50% |
|
|
|
|
GBP |
|
|
BOE QE Total |
375B |
|
375B |
|
375B |
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
Interest Rate Decision |
0.75% |
|
0.75% |
|
0.75% |
|
|
|
|
CAD |
|
|
Building Permits (MoM) |
15.0% |
|
3.0% |
|
-12.7% |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Initial Jobless Claims |
370K |
|
380K |
|
395K |
||
|
|
EUR |
|
|
ECB Press Conference |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Continuing Jobless Claims |
3205K |
|
3275K |
|
3305K |
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
Dec. 07 |
09:30 |
GBP |
0.7% |
-1.7% |
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
-0.2% |
0.1% |
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
-0.6% |
-2.6% |
|
|
11:00 |
EUR |
-0.5% |
-1.8% |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
0.2% |
0.0% |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
90K |
171K |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
34.4 |
34.4 |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
90K |
184K |
|
|
14:55 |
USD |
82.1 |
82.7 |
|
|
15:00 |
GBP |
0.5% |
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Dec 07 16:30 Italy
Dec 10 10:10 Norway
Dec 10 10:10 Slovakia
Dec 10 15:30 UK
Dec 10 16:30 Italy
Dec 11 09:30 Spain
Dec 11 10:10 Greece
Dec 11 10:15 Austria
Dec 11 10:30 Belgium
Dec 11 10:30 UK
Dec 11 18:00 US
Dec 12 10:10 Italy
Dec 12 10:10 Sweden
Dec 12 10:30 Swiss
Dec 12 16:30 US
Dec 13 01:30 Japan
Dec 13 09:30 Spain
Dec 13 10:10 Italy
Dec 13 10:30 UK
Dec 13 16:00 US
Dec 13 18:00 US
Dec 14 11:00 Belgium
Dec 14 15:30 UK