Analysis and Recommendations: Gold moved between small gains and losses today, with little direction. Gold is currently holding at 1703.25 adding 1.45.
Analysis and Recommendations:
Gold moved between small gains and losses today, with little direction. Gold is currently holding at 1703.25 adding 1.45. The overall market sentiments were on the weaker side on downbeat outlook over the Eurozone economy by the European Central Bank last day. The euro weakened following the grim economic outlook. Germany’s Bundesbank cutting the economic growth outlook for the Euro Zone’s largest economy weighed on too. Meanwhile, yen tumbled against most of its peers after a powerful earthquake struck Japan. Gold managed to sustain the previous session gains, ticked up even as prices were probably heading to post losses for the second consecutive week.
In contrast to these economic releases, ebb and flow negotiations over the fiscal cliff would continue to rule financial market and unless a clear cut consensus to avert the fiscal battle is carved out, expect markets to remain jumpy. Overall, the week has remained captive to fiscal cliff negotiations in the U.S and key central bank meetings. Coming days could see the Federal Reserve in the U.S expanding its bond purchase plan to add treasury purchases at its monthly meeting on Dec 11th and 12th to support growth as per reports. Also, toping economic releases over the weekend would be the Chinese Industrial production figures, which could throw further glimmer of hope that it’s not all doom for the world’s second largest economy, which is still showing resilience. The positive jobs data helped support the US dollar but had little reaction in precious metals.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data December 7, 2012 actual v. forecast
Date |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
||
Dec. 07 |
|
AUD |
|
|
Trade Balance |
-2.09B |
-2.05B |
-1.42B |
||
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Industrial Production (MoM) |
-0.8% |
0.7% |
-2.1% |
||
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Manufacturing Production (MoM) |
-1.3% |
-0.2% |
0.1% |
||
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Industrial Production (YoY) |
-3.0% |
-0.6% |
-3.2% |
||
|
|
EUR |
|
|
ECB President Draghi Speaks |
|||||
|
|
EUR |
|
|
German Industrial Production (MoM) |
-2.6% |
-0.5% |
-1.3% |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) |
0.2% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
||
|
|
CAD |
|
|
Employment Change |
59.3K |
10.0K |
1.8K |
||
|
|
CAD |
|
|
Labor Productivity (QoQ) |
-0.5% |
-0.6% |
|||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Nonfarm Payrolls |
146K |
93K |
138K |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Unemployment Rate |
7.7% |
7.9% |
7.9% |
||
|
|
CAD |
|
|
Unemployment Rate |
7.2% |
7.0% |
7.4% |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Average Weekly Hours |
34.4 |
34.4 |
34.4 |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Private Nonfarm Payrolls |
147K |
95K |
189K |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Michigan Consumer Sentiment |
74.5 |
82.4 |
82.7 |
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
There are no top tier events schedule for Monday December 10, 2012 ahead of the FOMC two day meeting traders will be watching US lawmakers as the fiscal cliff comes closer.
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Dec 10 10:10 Norway
Dec 10 10:10 Slovakia
Dec 10 15:30 UK
Dec 10 16:30 Italy
Dec 11 09:30 Spain
Dec 11 10:10 Greece
Dec 11 10:15 Austria
Dec 11 10:30 Belgium
Dec 11 10:30 UK
Dec 11 18:00 US
Dec 12 10:10 Italy
Dec 12 10:10 Sweden
Dec 12 10:30 Swiss
Dec 12 16:30 US
Dec 13 01:30 Japan
Dec 13 09:30 Spain
Dec 13 10:10 Italy
Dec 13 10:30 UK
Dec 13 16:00 US
Dec 13 18:00 US
Dec 14 11:00 Belgium
Dec 14 15:30 UK