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Gold Fundamental Analysis October 7, 2014 Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 24, 2015, 23:00 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: Gold reserved early morning losses to trade flat today at 1193.50 as traders bought up the cheap commodity in droves after

Gold Fundamental Analysis October 7, 2014 Forecast
Gold Fundamental Analysis October 7, 2014 Forecast
Gold Fundamental Analysis October 7, 2014 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

Gold reserved early morning losses to trade flat today at 1193.50 as traders bought up the cheap commodity in droves after falling 23.50 on Friday and declining $10.00 in the Asian session.  Apart from it being the festive season in India, the increased sales of gold in Dubai can be owed to the low prices currently. Residents and tourists have been flocking the jewelry stores after Friday’s steep decline.

The drop in prices can be attributed to low global demand. Prices in New York, which largely determine international rates, have declined after speculation that the US may increase interest rates on the back of an improvement in the labour market.

Gold prices stabilized somewhat after the yellow metal’s safe-haven status took a beating in Asian trading on Monday morning.  Prices were pulled down by the US dollar’s strength and the absence of physical buying in China, the leading consumer of the precious metal.

Given gold’s recent run, it is unclear whether this movement is a consolidation or simply a pause before continuing on a downward trajectory, according to analysts.

“Gold has held up relatively well compared to the other precious metals but, in our view, remains vulnerable, given our dollar and rates view. The cost of production offers little support for prices amidst weak physical demand, but market focus will shift towards the extent of strength in Chinese gold demand after the national holiday,” Barclay’s analysts said.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Today’s economic releases actual vs. forecast:

Cur.

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

  EUR

German Factory Orders

-5.7%

-2.5%

4.9%

 

  CAD

Ivey PMI 

 

53.0

50.9

 

 

Gold(60 minutes)20141006114619

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Currency

 

   

JPY

Monetary Policy Statement

AUD

Cash Rate

AUD

RBA Rate Statement

JPY

BOJ Press Conference

CHF

Foreign Currency Reserves

GBP

Halifax HPI m/m

CHF

CPI m/m

CHF

Retail Sales y/y

GBP

Manufacturing Production m/m

GBP

BOE Credit Conditions Survey

CAD

Building Permits m/m

GBP

NIESR GDP Estimate

USD

JOLTS Job Openings

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country Auction

Oct 07 06:00 Swiss Announces details of optional bond auction on Oct 08

Oct 07 09:00 Norway Bond auction

Oct 07 09:15 Austria RAGB auction

Oct 07 9:30 UK Auctions 3.5% 2045 Gilt

Oct 07 15:30 Italy Announces details of BOT auction on Oct 10

Oct 07 17:00 US 3Y Note auction

Oct 08 09:30 Germany Eur 4.0bn Oct 2019 Bobl auction

Oct 08 09:30 Swiss Bond auction (for decision)

Oct 08 15:30 Italy Announces details of BTP

Oct 08 17:00 US 10Y Note auction

Oct 09 09:03 Sweden I/L bond auction

Oct 09 17:00 US 30Y bond auction

Oct 10 09:10 Italy BOT auction

 

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