The gold market has gapped higher on Friday, as traders continue to worry about headlines out of the Middle East. Holding into the weekend will be dangerous in either direction.
The gold market has gapped higher to kick off the trading session on Friday, which probably shouldn’t be too big of a surprise. There are a lot of different headlines going around, one of which, of course, was that Trump has said they have canceled the bombing plans of the Iranians, but I think also you have to keep in mind there’s probably some short covering heading into the weekend because who knows what comes out as a headline, and that could throw the bond markets into disarray yet again.
So, with that, I think you need to be very cautious. I think it makes sense that if you were short of gold, once we got close to the $4,000 level, it was probably time to start looking for some type of exit.
That being said, even if we do rally from here, I think the upside is probably somewhat limited in the sense that the 200-day EMA will more likely than not offer a bit of a short-term ceiling. Breaking above there opens up the possibility of a bigger move, but right now I think we’re pretty far from that.
Again, I have to ask the question of how much of this was short covering, maybe a reaction to the headline, but again, it would take almost nothing to have the markets rattle again. I think this is probably something you need to watch what happens over the weekend. If it’s good, gold probably rallies; if it’s bad, gold probably sells off because of the bond market and higher yields in America, so watch the two.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.