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Gold vs. Bitcoin: Political Pressure Favors Gold as Bitcoin Lags

By
Muhammad Umair
Published: Jan 14, 2026, 10:10 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Political turmoil in the U.S. has driven investors toward gold and silver, reinforcing their role as trusted safe-haven assets.
  • Bitcoin struggled to maintain its rally, raising doubts about its reliability during periods of institutional and geopolitical stress.
  • The gold-to-Bitcoin ratio surged, signaling gold's dominance as the stronger asset amid market uncertainty.
gold bitcoin

The politics and financial institutions are putting pressure and forcing the investors to reevaluate their investments. With the traditional systems coming under strain, assets including gold (XAUUSD), silver (XAGUSD), and Bitcoin (BTC) are back in demand. However not all of them are doing the same thing. Gold is making new highs, while Bitcoin is not doing well to keep its place which brings new questions about its identity as a safe haven asset. This article examines the shifting investors, market indicators and how the ratio of gold to Bitcoin reflects during the turbulent periods.

Political Pressure Drives Safe Haven Demand

The political developments in the US have rocked the commodity market. The comments by the Fed and the news of a subpoena of the Fed by the Department of Justice were taken to be retaliatory by Trump. These events were treated as a threat associated with the central bank.

Therefore, gold and silver soared higher because of these increased institutional and political risks. These risks led investors to find safety in hard assets. Bitcoin also joined the move, but the rally was short-lived.

The Safe-Haven Status Struggle for Bitcoin

Despite the reputation of Bitcoin as Digital Gold price of Bitcoin failed to rally above $100,000. However the early market reaction indicated renewed interest in Bitcoin as a hedge against political meddling and structural headwinds.

Moreover options traders began to trim the exposure to the shorter dated call options. This involved calls in January and February 2026 very close to the $98,000 and $100,000 strikes. The rotation into longer-dated March contracts with $125,000 strikes is a good sign that bullish sentiment hasn’t disappeared. Traders are apparently waiting to be convicted instead of getting out altogether

This divergence in the behavior of gold and Bitcoin raises the question of which asset is a good hedge against political interference.

Gold-to-Bitcoin Ratio Revealed Metric

The gold to Bitcoin ratio is a useful tool to check the relative strength of the two assets. When the ratio increases, it means that gold does better than Bitcoin. However, when the ratio decreases, Bitcoin becomes stronger.

Recently the ratio has begun to break higher after August 2025 off the long-term support at 0.026 as seen in the chart below. When the ratio begins to rise higher, this indicates strength of gold and weakness in Bitcoin.

The ratio has broken the resistance of the descending channel pattern and moved above the level of 0.05. This breakout shows that the long-term trend of the ratio has changed its direction. This shows that gold may remain strong compared to Bitcoin market. This ratio also indicates that the increment of the ratio highlights ongoing geopolitical crises.

Technical Analysis: Gold is Strong, Bitcoin is Stalled

The daily chart for Bitcoin shows that Bitcoin prices are rebounding from the support of the $85,000 level. This rebound has a good resistance test at the $100,000 level. As long as the Bitcoin price is below this level, the move will continue lower towards $75,000 level. As long as the $75,000 level support remains in place, the Bitcoin trend still remains bullish. Only a break below the $60,000 will cause a strong drop in the Bitcoin market.

On the other hand, the gold market is bullish and broke above $4,600. The correction in the last week of 2025 found strong support on the breakout level of $4,360. The rebound from this support has pushed the prices through the $4,600 level. This breakout has now opened the door for much higher prices in the gold market. The gold market is now headed above $5000 level in the next few weeks.

The divergence in technical structure is also supporting the case that gold is the preferred asset in this politically charged environment.

Conclusion

Political issues in the U.S. have left people worrying about the safety of money and the capacity of the central bank. For this reason, many investors were eager to buy gold and silver. Bitcoin also increased at one point but couldn’t keep on increasing. This highlights the fact that Bitcoin is not the best choice when it comes to short-term safety. Some investors didn’t give up on Bitcoin entirely, but they just resolved to wait longer before buying more.

At the same time gold to Bitcoin ratio moved higher, which indicates that gold is getting stronger in comparison to Bitcoin when there’s global trouble. Gold price has already broken above $4,600, but Bitcoin is still stuck below $100,000. Gold offers safer and more trusted option, while Bitcoin still offers riskier and better option for long term plans.

If you’d like to know more about commodity correlation and diversification, please visit our educational area.

 

About the Author

Muhammad Umair is a finance MBA and engineering PhD. As a seasoned financial analyst specializing in currencies and precious metals, he combines his multidisciplinary academic background to deliver a data-driven, contrarian perspective. As founder of Gold Predictors, he leads a team providing advanced market analytics, quantitative research, and refined precious metals trading strategies.

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