US markets posted strong gains in the week ending May 2 as US economic data fueled Fed rate cut expectations. The Nasdaq Composite Index rallied 3.42%, while the Dow and the S&P 500 advanced 3% and 2.92%, respectively.
While US economic data supported a more dovish Fed rate path, easing US-China trade tensions also improved risk sentiment. CN Wire reported:
“China’s Ministry of Commerce stated that it has noted repeated remarks by senior U.S. officials expressing a willingness to engage in tariff negotiations with China. Recently, relevant U.S. parties have also proactively conveyed messages to China, hoping to initiate talks. In response, China is conducting an assessment.“
However, corporate earnings for the MAGS were mixed. Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META) topped earnings, ending the week up 11.08% and 9.09%, respectively. In contrast, Apple (AAPL) fell 1.88%, while Amazon.com (AMZN) gained 0.52% after missing earnings forecasts.
Despite escalating US tariffs, China’s manufacturing sector showed resilience. The highly influential Caixin Manufacturing PMI fell to 50.4 in April, down from 51.2 in March, but remained above the 50 neutral level. Optimism over potential stimulus from Beijing helped underpin sentiment. However, a drop in overseas orders led to job cuts, raising concerns about the near-term outlook.
The Hang Seng Index climbed 2.38% in the week ending May 2, extending its winning streak to three weeks. Easing trade tensions drove demand for Hong Kong-listed stocks, although Beijing’s silence on stimulus capped the gains. Tech led the rally, with the Hang Seng Tech Index soaring 5.24%.
Commenting on the tech rally, Stansberry Research analyst Brian Tycangco noted:
“Two days ago, I pointed out how the Hang Seng Tech was on the verge of a bullish pattern BO. The strength was despite ongoing trade tensions, as Beijing held its ground vs the US. Since then, Washington has been sending out statements alluding to impending talks. This is now making more realize that China has the upper hand. That means deescalation on largely China’s terms that will be net positive for the global economy and equity markets in general.”
Mainland China’s equity markets fell in a shortened week. The CSI 300 dropped 0.43%, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.49%. Markets were closed on Thursday and Friday, limiting the reaction to improved trade signals.
For more analysis on the Hang Seng Index and global market trends, click here.
The ASX 200 extended its winning streak to three weeks, jumping 3.39% in the week ending May 2. A de-escalation in the US-China trade war and softer Australian inflation numbers boosted demand for Aussie stocks. Tech and banking stocks led the gains.
The Nikkei Index gained 4.08%, driven by a Bank of Japan pivot from hawkish to cautious amid tariff concerns and a weaker Japanese Yen. Easing trade tensions also weighed on the Yen, boosting demand for Japanese stocks. The USD/JPY pair rose 0.92% to close the week at 144.953. A weaker Yen could improve the competitiveness of Japanese goods and corporate earnings.
Investors should closely monitor central bank commentary, Beijing’s stimulus policy, and incoming economic data. Key releases include China trade data (May 9), Japan’s household spending (May 9), and the Fed’s interest rate decision (May 7). Trade developments remain a key driver for regional markets.
In a volatile landscape, staying updated on trade, policy, and central bank moves remains critical. Access deeper Hang Seng insights here.
With over 28 years of experience in the financial industry, Bob has worked with various global rating agencies and multinational banks. Currently he is covering currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes and global equities, focusing mostly on European and Asian markets.