XRP has faced intense selling pressure in recent sessions as the SEC vs. Ripple case draws to a close. Investors’ hopes of a swift end to the Ripple case and approval of pending XRP-spot ETFs have faded, leaving XRP exposed to broader market dynamics.
Notably, XRP has fallen 15% since the SEC and Ripple filed the Joint Stipulation of Dismissal, withdrawing their appeals. Investors await the US Court of Appeals’ approval of the Joint Stipulation of Dismissal. However, an end to the Ripple case is unlikely to trigger crucial events to incite a breakout. These key events include:
While these key events are crucial for XRP’s price outlook, Ripple’s strengthening position as an alternative to SWIFT could be another XRP tailwind. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse recently predicted it could capture 14% of SWIFT’s transactions within the next five years. This would be significant for XRP adoption, given the size of SWIFT’s remittance business.
While XRP pulls back below the $3 level, the October events could be pivotal for XRP and the broader crypto market.
XRP tumbled 6.56% on Tuesday, August 19, following the previous session’s 0.88% loss, closing at $2.8619. The token underperformed the broader market, which slid 3.43% to a total crypto market cap of $3.74 trillion.
In the near-term, XRP’s price outlook hinges on several key catalysts, including:
A breakout above the 50-day EMA could enable the bulls to target the psychological $3 resistance level. A sustained move above $3 may pave the way to $3.10. However, a break below $2.8 opens the door to testing the August 3 low of $2.7254.
Explore our full XRP forecast here for key breakout zones and timing insights.
While XRP extended losses on spot XRP ETF disappointment, Bitcoin (BTC) closed below the key $115,000 support level for the first time since August 5. Recent inflation-linked US economic data has fueled uncertainty about the Fed’s policy stance ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium.
Fed Chair Powell will speak on Friday, August 22. The Fed Chair may signal a delay to interest rate cuts to continue assessing the impact of tariffs on import prices and inflation.
Delays to Fed rate cuts would keep borrowing costs elevated and strengthen the US dollar, impacting BTC’s store of value position. On the other hand, support for multiple Fed rate cuts could soften the US dollar, reduce borrowing costs, and boost demand for BTC and other risk assets.
Market concerns about Chair Powell’s stance on monetary policy also impacted spot BTC ETF flows. According to Farside Investors, the US BTC-spot ETF market reported total net outflows of $121.7 million on August 18. Outflows accelerated on August 19. Key flows included:
With BlackRock (BLK) iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) flow data pending, total US BTC-spot ETF outflows reached $523.3 million, potentially extending the outflow streak to three sessions. BTC flow trends remain crucial for the supply-demand balance and the token’s price trajectory.
Bitcoin slid 2.94% on Tuesday, August 19, following the previous day’s 1.03% loss, closing at $112,881.
Looking ahead, several key events will dictate the near-term price trajectory. These include:
Potential scenarios:
Traders should track the following key developments to determine whether XRP and BTC rebound:
See where analysts expect XRP and BTC to head as legal and political risks evolve.
With over 28 years of experience in the financial industry, Bob has worked with various global rating agencies and multinational banks. Currently he is covering currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes and global equities, focusing mostly on European and Asian markets.