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Huge Technology Rotation is an Opportunity

By: 
Lucas Downey
Microsoft logo.

AI destroyed the market value of many software companies through forced selling. It’s driven some prominent names to multi-year lows.

That’s great news for value hunters. The technology sector is seeing some huge rotation.

Tech Rotation Great for Stock Pickers

In other words, the tech sector has some stocks winning while others are losing. For instance, semiconductors, memory, and storage companies have zoomed. Conversely, software stocks have suffered.

When using the exchange-traded fund State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) as a proxy, you can see the tech sector is generally stagnant and trending down of late:

Line graph showing Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) price trends from February 19, 2025, to February 19, 2026, with prices ranging from $80 to $150. The graph features a blue line for XLK price, green vertical lines for inflows, and red vertical lines for outflows, highlighting increased inflows mid-year and notable outflows in March 2025 and early 2026.
Line graph showing Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) price trends from February 19, 2025, to February 19, 2026, including inflows and outflows. Source: www.moneyflows.com

But there’s a bright side to this volatility. History shows it’s a great time to get in when tech sells this hard.

Let’s take a look at software. Using the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) as a proxy, you can see how it’s suffered:

Line chart showing iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) price trends from February 19, 2025, to February 19, 2026, with values ranging between $70 and $110. Chart highlights inflows with green vertical lines and outflows with red vertical lines, indicating multiple inflow peaks around mid-2025 and significant outflows near November 2025 and early 2026.
Line chart showing iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) price trends from February 19, 2025, to February 19, 2026, including inflows and outflows. Source: www.moneyflows.com

All those red lines are institutional outflows. Big Money is dumping software stocks.

But here’s the thing – there are still quality companies in the industry. Two are Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) and Palantir Technologies, Inc. (PLTR).

Microsoft has seen selling dating back to last year:

Line chart displays Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) stock price trends from March 2025 to February 2026, with blue area representing price fluctuations between $350 and $525. Green and red vertical lines indicate inflows and outflows, respectively, highlighting notable spikes in inflows around August and November 2025 and increased outflows in January and February 2026.
Line chart displays Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) stock price trends from March 2025 to February 2026. Source: www.moneyflows.com

But the fundamental picture of the company remains solid:

  • 3-year sales growth rate (+12.5%)
  • 3-year EPS growth rate (+12.6%)
  • Profit margin (+36.1%)
  • 1-year EPS estimate (+15.1%)

Source: FactSet

Similarly, Palantir has been hit with recent heavy selling:

Line chart showing Palantir Technologies Inc. Class A (PLTR) stock price trends from February 2025 to February 2026, with price values ranging from $50 to over $200. Chart includes green vertical lines indicating inflows and red vertical lines indicating outflows, highlighting significant investment activity spikes around August 2025, December 2025, and early 2026.
Line chart showing Palantir Technologies Inc. Class A (PLTR) stock price trends from February 2025 to February 2026, including inflows and outflows. Source: www.moneyflows.com

Here, too, the company’s fundamental outlook is quite good:

  • 3-year sales growth rate (+33.9%)
  • 3-year EPS growth rate (+172.1%)
  • Profit margin (+36.3%)
  • 1-year EPS estimate (+42.2%)

Source: FactSet

Perhaps these companies are opportunities right now, as software generally takes a hit. While the future may seem uncertain, technology selloffs don’t occur often. The fact that the industry has roared back time and again suggests software may not be as dead as people think.

One More Software Stock Worth Considering

To illustrate the quality of company that’s being hit hard right now, let’s look at one more software stock worth considering due to heavy institutional outflows.

I’m talking about enterprise relationship management company Salesforce, Inc. (CRM). It’s been being sold by institutions for almost an entire year:

Line chart showing Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) stock price trends from March 2025 to February 2026 with a blue line representing stock price fluctuations between $175 and $325. Vertical bars indicate inflows in green and outflows in red, highlighting multiple significant outflows in April and August 2025 and inflows in November and December 2025.
Line chart showing Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) stock price trends from March 2025 to February 2026, including inflows and outflows. Source: www.moneyflows.com

That big fall is not reflected in the company’s fundamentals:

  • 3-year sales growth rate (+12.7%)
  • 3-year EPS growth rate (+630.2%)
  • Profit margin (+16.4%)
  • 1-year EPS estimate (+11.8%)

Source: FactSet

Also, the company began paying dividends in 2024. It’s grown the payout since then but maintains a low payout ratio of 22.2%, indicating more growth ahead. The current forward yield is 0.73% with an annual payout of $1.66 per share.

So, an enterprise software company with solid fundamentals that’s been heavily involved in AI and pays a growing dividend is on extreme sale. This could be an opportunity worth exploring for long-term investors.

Opportunity to Pounce

Tech is seeing some massive selling in certain spots. But value hunters have an opportunity to pounce.

This is where MoneyFlows data can make a difference. See the underlying flows that make waves before they appear on the surface.

If you are a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) or a serious investor, take your investing to the next level and follow our free weekly MoneyFlows insights.

Disclosure: the author owns MSFT in personal and managed accounts and holds no positions in PLTR or CRM at the time of publication.

About the Author

Lucas Downeycontributor

Lucas is a well-versed equity investor and educator. He currently is co-founder of research and analytics firm, MAPsignals.com, which focuses on finding outlier stocks by following the Big Money.

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