Interesting Scenario Brewing on EUR/GBP

Aaron Hill
Published: Feb 27, 2024, 11:28 GMT+00:00

Head and Shoulder's Top on the monthly with an inverted Head and Shoulder's Top on the daily for the EUR/GBP!

Euro bills, FX Empire

In this article:

Technically speaking, price action on the EUR/GBP cross has been rangebound since late 2016, which is evident on the monthly chart.

However, what this ranging action has offered technical eyes is a potential Head and Shoulder’s Top pattern to work with between £0.9306, £0.9504 and £0.9066 (if you wanted to be more technical, you might also refer to this as a complex Head and Shoulder’s Top given the two left shoulders). The pattern, as you can see, has yet to be completed as the right shoulder is still forming, but a neckline has been drawn in anticipation of pattern completion, extended from the low of £0.8313.

Nevertheless, drilling down to the lower timeframes on the daily chart, you will note that price action is in the process of chalking up an inverted Head and Shoulder’s Top pattern between £0.8513, £0.8498 and £0.8528, with a neckline drawn from the high of £0.8572.

What Does This Mean?

Should the daily chart’s pattern complete—rupture the neckline—this could see a moderate move to the upside. However, knowing that there is a possibility of the monthly timeframe eventually targeting a break of the Head and Shoulder’s Top pattern’s neckline, any upside move could be weakened on the daily timeframe.

Resistance on the Daily Timeframe?

Assuming we do indeed witness a breakout higher on the daily timeframe and price tests the projected inverted Head and Shoulder’s Top pattern’s profit objective at £0.8658, this, combined with the resistance zone located above it between £0.8671 and £0.8664, could be an area where the chart welcomes a sell-on-rally scenario based on what is being shown on the monthly timeframe.



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About the Author

Aaron Hillcontributor

Aaron graduated from the Open University and pursued a career in teaching, though soon discovered a passion for trading, personal finance and writing.

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