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Metals Pack Fundamental Analysis October 30, 2014 Forecast – Silver & Copper

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 25, 2015, 07:00 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: Silver fell 51 points to trade at 17.175 touching near its lowest point this month as traders turned away from precious

Metals Pack Fundamental Analysis October 30, 2014 Forecast – Silver & Copper
Metals Pack Fundamental Analysis October 30, 2014 Forecast – Silver & Copper
Metals Pack Fundamental Analysis October 30, 2014 Forecast – Silver & Copper

Analysis and Recommendations:

Silver fell 51 points to trade at 17.175 touching near its lowest point this month as traders turned away from precious metals as they suspect that FOMC will keep the things moving forward. Copper gained 10 points to reach its highest this month at 3.101 up by 10 points. Copper prices are trading higher due to the strikes at the Grasberg project in Indonesia, coupled with a strike set to begin Nov. 10 at the Antamina mine in Peru.

The daily inventory data released by the London Metal Exchange (LME) today showed a decline in the inventory levels of Aluminium, Lead and Zinc. Meanwhile, the data showed a rise in the inventory levels of Copper and Nickel.  Some Chinese companies have difficulties of getting bank loans on stringent credit policy following the Qingdao port probe. In June, Qingdao port halted shipments of aluminum and copper during a probe into loan irregularities involving warehouse stocks.

The second Southeast Asian trader agreed, adding that he had not done any trade for the past few weeks. In addition, sources said some Chinese market participants had refrained from importing as the import-related loss had climbed to around Yuan 2,000/mt ($327/mt) from around Yuan 1,000/mt last week.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Today’s economic releases actual vs. forecast:

 

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

 

 

  JPY

 

Industrial Production

2.7%

2.2%

-1.9%

 

  NZD

 

Business Confidence

26.5%

 

13.4%

 

  CAD

 

RMPI (MoM) (Sep)

 

-1.0%

-2.2%

 

  USD

 

FOMC Statement  

 

 

 

 

  USD

 

Fed Funds Target Rate

 

0.25%

0.25%

Copper(60 minutes)20141029102835
 
Silver(60 minutes)20141029102823

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

 

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  NZD

 

RBNZ Rate Statement  

 

 

 

 

 

  AUD

 

HIA New Home Sales

 

 

3.3%

 

 

  GBP

 

Nationwide HPI (MoM)

 

0.3%

-0.2%

 

 

  GBP

 

MPC Member Cunliffe  

 

 

 

 

 

  EUR

 

Spanish GDP (QoQ)

 

0.5%

0.6%

 

 

  EUR

 

German Unemployment

 

5K

13K

 

 

  EUR

 

German Unemployment

 

6.7%

6.7%

 

 

  USD

 

GDP (QoQ) (Q3)  

 

3.0%

4.6%

 

 

  USD

 

GDP Price Index (QoQ)  

 

2.0%

2.1%

 

 

  USD

 

Initial Jobless Claims

 

283K

283K

 

 

  USD

 

Fed Chair Yellen  

 

 

 

 

 

  EUR

 

German CPI (MoM)

 

-0.1%

0.0%

 

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country Auction

Oct 29 10:03 Sweden Sek 3.5bn 5.0% Dec 2020 bonds

Oct 29 10:30 Germany Eur 4.0bn Aug 2024 Bund auction

Oct 29 15:30 US Usd 15bn 2Y FRNs

Oct 29 17:00 US Usd 35bn 5Y Notes

Oct 30 10:10 Italy BTP/CCTeu auctions

Oct 30 17:00 US Usd 29bn 7Y Notes

Nov 03 10:00 Norway T-bill auction

Nov 04 10:15 Austria RAGB auction

Nov 04 10:30 Belgium 3 & 6M T-bill auction (Feb & Apr 2015)

Nov 04 10:30 UK Auctions 0.5% 2050 I/L Gilt

Nov 05 10:30 Germany Eur 4.0bn Oct 2019 Bobl auction

Nov 06 09:30 Spain Bono/Obligacion auction

Nov 06 10:03 Sweden I/L bond auction

Nov 06 11:00 Norway Announces details of bond auction on Nov 11

Nov 07 16:30 Italy Announces details of BOT auction on Nov 12

 

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