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Metals Pack Fundamental Analysis October 8, 2014 Forecast – Silver & Copper

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 24, 2015, 23:00 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: Silver gained 248 points outperforming the commodities market today. Silver is trading at 17.473 while Copper eased by 5

Metals Pack Fundamental Analysis October 8, 2014 Forecast – Silver & Copper

Metals Pack Fundamental Analysis October 8, 2014 Forecast – Silver & Copper
Metals Pack Fundamental Analysis October 8, 2014 Forecast – Silver & Copper
Analysis and Recommendations:

Silver gained 248 points outperforming the commodities market today. Silver is trading at 17.473 while Copper eased by 5 points offsetting early morning gains. China has been shuttered for the week long holiday and traders will return to the markets on Wednesday and we might see a jump in prices at that time. There has been little significant data to support metals this week. The dollar index has gained for the past 12 consecutive weeks and hit a more than four-year high on Friday after a strong U.S. jobs report. More robust economic data could boost the dollar and reiterate expectations that the Federal Reserve would raise U.S. interest rates in mid-2015, a move that would hurt non-interest-bearing assets such as gold.

The South African Department of Co-operative Governance and Traditional Affairs had its hands full on Monday in defending planned legislation to declare copper a precious metal in an attempt to curb rampant cable theft and ensure more convictions. At an intense debate with business in Johannesburg, Deputy Minister Andries Nel said the department was considering categorizing copper as a precious metal, which institutions including state-owned logistics giant Transnet have long been advocating.

Investors said apart from a firming trend in base metals, better demand from domestic industries at spot markets, influenced copper prices at futures trade here.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Today’s economic releases actual vs. forecast:

 

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  NZD

 

NZIER Business Confidence (Q3)

19%

 

32%

 

 

  AUD

 

Interest Rate Decision (Oct)

2.50%

2.50%

2.50%

 

 

  AUD

 

RBA Rate Statement  

 

 

 

 

 

  EUR

 

German Industrial Production

-4.0%

-1.5%

1.6%

 

 

  JPY

 

BoJ Press Conference 

 

 

 

 

 

  GBP

 

Industrial Production (MoM)

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

 

 

  GBP

 

Manufacturing Production 

0.1%

0.1%

0.3%

 

 

  CAD

 

Building Permits (MoM) (Aug)

 

-13.0%

11.8%

 

 

  USD

 

JOLTs Job Openings (Aug)

 

4.71M

4.67M

 

 

Silver(60 minutes)20141007111642

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

 

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  JPY

 

Adjusted Current Acct.

 

0.19T

0.10T

 

 

  JPY

 

Current Account n.s.a.

 

0.198T

0.417T

 

 

  CNY

 

HSBC Services PMI (Sep)

 

53.8

54.1

 

 

  JPY

 

BoJ Monthly Report

 

 

 

 

 

  CAD

 

Housing Starts (Sep)

 

196.0K

192.4K

 

 

  USD

 

FOMC Meeting Minutes 

 

 

 

 

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country Auction

Oct 08 09:30 Germany Eur 4.0bn Oct 2019 Bobl auction

Oct 08 09:30 Swiss Bond auction (for decision)

Oct 08 15:30 Italy Announces details of BTP

Oct 08 17:00 US 10Y Note auction

Oct 09 09:03 Sweden I/L bond auction

Oct 09 17:00 US 30Y bond auction

Oct 10 09:10 Italy BOT auction

 

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