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Natural Gas Fundamental Analysis December 18, 2012, Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 21, 2015, 01:00 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: Natural Gas is trading at 3.343 up by 0.029pts today as traders took advantage of the huge declines in prices to bottom

Natural Gas Fundamental Analysis December 18, 2012, Forecast
Natural Gas Fundamental Analysis December 18, 2012, Forecast
Natural Gas Fundamental Analysis December 18, 2012, Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

Natural Gas is trading at 3.343 up by 0.029pts today as traders took advantage of the huge declines in prices to bottom feed. Gas gained as much as 1.9 percent after Commodity Weather Group LLC in Bethesda, Maryland, predicted colder-than-usual weather across most of the lower 48 states from Dec. 27 through Dec. 31. Earlier outlooks forecast above-average temperatures on the East Coast. Prices settled at an 11-week low of $3.314 per million British thermal units on Dec. 14. About 50 percent of U.S. households use gas for heating, Energy Department data show.

Gas inventories rose 2 billion cubic feet in the week ended Dec. 7 to 3.806 trillion cubic feet, the Energy Department reported Dec. 13. It was the latest seasonal supply gain since the week ended Dec. 30, 2005, according to department data compiled by Bloomberg.

Supplies were 8 percent above the five-year average, compared with 4.6 percent the previous week. The gas inventory surplus to the average has declined from a six-year high of 61 percent in March, department data show.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data December 17, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

Dec. 17

 

GBP

 

 

Rightmove House Price Index (MoM) 

-3.3%

 

 

 

-2.6% 

 

 

 

 

TRY

 

 

Turkish Quarterly Unemployment Rate 

9.10%

 

9.00% 

 

8.80% 

 

 

 

 

CAD

 

 

Foreign Securities Purchases 

13.26B

 

10.80B 

 

14.12B 

   

 

 

USD

 

 

NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 

-8.1

 

-1.0 

 

-5.2 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

TIC Net Long-Term Transactions 

1.3B

 

25.0B 

 

3.2B 

   

 

WEEKLY

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

 Dec. 18

09:30

GBP

CPI (YoY) 

2.6%

2.7%

 

09:30

GBP

PPI Input (MoM) 

-0.1%

0.4%

 

09:30

GBP

CPI (MoM) 

0.2%

0.5%

 

09:30

GBP

PPI Input (YoY) 

-0.5%

0.1%

 

13:30

USD

Current Account 

-103.5B

-117.4B

Dec. 19

09:00

EUR

German Ifo Business Climate Index 

102.0

101.4

 

09:00

EUR

German Current Assessment 

108.0

108.1

 

09:00

EUR

German Business Expectations 

96.3

95.2

 

11:00

GBP

CBI Distributive Trades Survey 

25

33

 

13:30

USD

Building Permits 

0.875M

0.868M

 

13:30

USD

Housing Starts 

0.870M

0.894M

Dec. 20 

09:30

GBP

Retail Sales (MoM) 

0.3%

-0.8%

 

09:30

GBP

Retail Sales (YoY) 

1.5%

0.6%

Dec. 21

07:00

EUR

GfK German Consumer Climate 

5.9

5.9

 

09:30

GBP

Current Account 

-14.0B

-20.8B

 

09:30

GBP

GDP (QoQ) 

1.0%

1.0%

 

09:30

GBP

GDP (YoY) 

-0.1%

-0.1%

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Dec 18 01:30 Japan 

Dec 18 09:30 Spain 

Dec 18 10:10 Greece 

Dec 18 18:00 US 

Dec 19 18:00 US 

Dec 20 10:30 UK 

Dec 20 16:30 Italy  

Dec 20 18:00 US 

Dec 21 16:30 Italy  

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