Analysis and Recommendations: Natural Gas is trading at 3.37 down by 0.052 as the weather pattern was not as severe as expected and the upcoming days will
Natural Gas is trading at 3.37 down by 0.052 as the weather pattern was not as severe as expected and the upcoming days will be on the warmer side, reducing demand by residential users. EIA inventories are expecting a climb in supply pushing down prices. Just a few months ago, gas was forecast to trade in the 3.34 price range before traders pushed it to the high of 3.99 last month.
Natural gas prices entered the US trading session under pressure, despite headlines talking up the snow storm in the Northeast. Perhaps that is because the latest six to 10 day weather maps forecast much of the cold blanketing the US leaving the central part of the country into January 5th. Meanwhile, some traders point to an elevated level of offline US nuclear capacity and expectations for another large EIA storage draw this week as forces offering support.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data December 27, 2012 actual v. forecast
Date |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
|
Forecast |
|
Previous |
|
|
Dec. 27 |
|
GBP |
|
|
BBA Mortgage Approvals |
33.6K |
|
34.6K |
|
33.1K |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Initial Jobless Claims |
350K |
|
360K |
|
362K |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Continuing Jobless Claims |
3206K |
|
3200K |
|
3238K |
||
|
|
MXN |
|
|
Mexican Trade Balance |
-1.273B |
|
-0.700B |
|
-1.647B |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
CB Consumer Confidence |
65.1 |
|
70.0 |
|
71.5 |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
New Home Sales |
377K |
|
378K |
|
361K |
WEEKLY
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
Date |
Time |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
|
Forecast |
|
Previous |
|
|
Dec. 28 |
07:45 |
|
EUR |
|
|
French Consumer Spending (MoM) |
|
|
0.1% |
|
-0.2% |
|
|
|
07:45 |
|
EUR |
|
|
French GDP (QoQ) |
|
|
0.2% |
|
0.2% |
|
|
|
08:30 |
|
SEK |
|
|
Swedish Retail Sales (MoM) |
|
|
0.20% |
|
-1.70% |
|
|
|
10:10 |
|
EUR |
|
|
Italian 10-Year BTP Auction |
|
|
|
|
4.45% |
|
|
|
14:45 |
|
USD |
|
|
Chicago PMI |
|
|
51.0 |
|
50.4 |
|
|
|
15:00 |
|
USD |
|
|
Pending Home Sales (MoM) |
|
|
1.0% |
|
5.2% |
|
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CAD and USD
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
None Scheduled Until 2013