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Precious Metals Fundamental Analysis – August 25, 2015 –Forecast – Gold, Silver & Platinum

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 24, 2015, 13:17 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: Gold is amazingly flat today just adding 60 cents to 1160.20 as traders ran to safety but avoided gold and the US dollar.

Gold Rises upon Market Uncertainty
Precious Metals Fundamental Analysis – August 25, 2015 –Forecast –Forecast - Gold, Silver & Platinum
Precious Metals Fundamental Analysis – August 25, 2015 –Forecast –Forecast – Gold, Silver & Platinum

Analysis and Recommendations:

Gold is amazingly flat today just adding 60 cents to 1160.20 as traders ran to safety but avoided gold and the US dollar. Silver fell 466 points so far today to trade at 14.835. Platinum got hit back giving up almost $40 to reach 987.40.

Mounting concern that global growth is faltering pummeled shares, emerging-market currencies and commodities last week, and the selloff deepened on Monday. Stock gauges from Japan to Australia sank with U.S. index futures, while China’s stocks plunged. Commodity prices sank to a 16-year low as crude oil and base metals retreated.

“Markets are nervous — and this is always good news for gold,” Gavin Wendt, managing director of Mine Life Pty in Sydney, said in an e-mail. “True investors have once again used market weakness as a tremendous buying opportunity, reinforcing my positive view on gold.”

The worldwide rout is shaking confidence that the global economy will be strong enough to withstand higher U.S. interest rates, diminishing prospects for tighter policy and buoying bullion. The dollar fell 0.2 percent on Monday.

Precious metals have features distinct from other commodities. Gold is neither valued nor priced solely as a commodity. Although purchased primarily for industrial use, it is bought also as an investment.

The International Monetary Fund defines gold held as part of official reserves or as a financial asset by institutions and individuals as “monetary” gold. Gold purchased primarily for industrial use is termed “commodity” gold.

London’s $15.1 trillion gold market accounted for 86 percent of physical gold global trading in 2011. It is administered by the London Bullion Market Association.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Today’s economic releases:

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  USD

 

FOMC Member Lockhart Speaks 

 

 

 

   

 

gold

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  EUR

 

German GDP (QoQ) (Q2)

 

0.4%

0.4%

 

 

  EUR

 

German GDP (YoY) (Q2)

 

1.6%

1.6%

 

 

  CHF

 

Employment Level (Q2)

 

 

4.225M

 

 

  EUR

 

German Business Expectations (Aug)

 

102.0

102.4

 

 

  EUR

 

German Current Assessment (Aug)

 

113.9

113.9

 

 

  EUR

 

German Ifo Business Climate Index

 

107.8

108.0

 

 

  USD

 

S&P/CS HPI Composite – 20 n.s.a.

 

5.1%

4.9%

 

 

  USD

 

Services PMI (Aug)

 

56.0

 

 

 

  USD

 

CB Consumer Confidence (Aug)

 

93.3

90.9

 

 

  USD

 

New Home Sales (MoM) (Jul)

 

6.0%

-6.8%

 

 

  USD

 

New Home Sales (Jul)

 

510K

482K

   

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