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Silver Price Forecast – Silver markets pulled back to find buyers

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Oct 19, 2018, 03:18 UTC

Silver markets pulled back during the trading session on Thursday, reaching down to the $14.50 level to find buyers. This is an area that should continue to be interesting, as it is essentially “fair value” of the recent consolidation area.

Silver daily chart, October 19, 2018

The Silver markets continue to find resistance at the $15 level, while they will also find significant support at the $14 level. Ultimately, this market continues to go back and forth but I think silver is trying to form a bit of a base. At this point, I think if we can break above the $15 level, then we can go much higher, perhaps breaking towards $15.50 next, and then the $16 level after that.

However, if we were to break down below the $14 level that would be very negative for the silver market, and probably continue the downtrend that we have seen most of the year. In that scenario, I think the market probably goes down to the $12 level underneath which has been historically important. Remember, J.P. Morgan and several other large banks have a massive short position in the paper market to keep silver down. However, we can also pay attention to the US dollar and see what it is doing as a barometer of where we should go.

Recently, we have seen a bit of a divergence from the US dollar though, as we have also seen buyers jumping in to pick up silver as a bit of a safety trade. It’s been a while since I’ve seen the precious metals act is like that, so that may be new for some people. If we can break above the $15 level, I think that we will see a huge move start to build up at that point. I would anticipate that the $15.50 level as significant resistance, and a pullback from there would make sense. However, if we turned around to break above there then the market really will take off. I do believe that happens given enough time but I would keep my position small in the meantime.

SILVER Video 19.10.18

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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