Silver (XAG) Forecast: Bulls Press On as Demand Stays Firm and Traders Chase the Breakout

Silver Pushes to Fresh Highs as Traders Lean Into the Story

Spot Silver finished Friday at $67.17, up 2.55%, and the move felt like buyers weren’t interested in giving up any ground. Spot even touched $67.46 earlier in the day before easing a bit into the close — normal stuff for a market that’s been running hot for weeks. This wraps a fourth straight weekly gain and roughly 8.48% higher on the week, with XAGUSD sitting on a massive 120% year-to-date rally. Gold’s having a strong year too, but silver continues to outrun it.

Fed Cuts, Softer CPI, and a Market Leaning Bullish

The Fed’s third 25 bp cut was already digested by most traders, though the three dissenting votes were a reminder that not everyone on the committee is comfortable with the pace. Still, easier policy is easier policy, and silver tends to like that.

The softer CPI print added fuel. Headline at 2.7% and core at 2.6% — the slowest in years — signaled cooling price pressure. Traders quickly penciled in two more cuts for 2026, even if the Fed itself only signaled one. Maybe the market’s leaning a touch aggressive, but the setup is simple: cooling inflation plus lower rates keeps silver in demand.

Dollar Stalls, Gold Holds Up, Silver Still Leads

The dollar closed the week at 98.718, basically flat, but the bigger story is the longer slide. Down more than 8% over the past year, the weaker dollar has kept the door open for foreign buyers to stay active in metals.

Gold hovering near the record high at $4381.44 helped keep sentiment steady, but silver continues to be where traders reach for torque. The industrial story is doing a lot of that heavy lifting. Solar, EV expansion, and data-center buildouts tied to AI aren’t slowing, and silver’s unique properties make it hard to substitute.

Tight Supply Meets Strong Demand

London’s market remains tight, and expectations are that the squeeze carries into 2026. Mix that with higher unemployment (4.6%) and softer yields, and the Fed suddenly has more room to keep trimming rates next year.

Silver’s addition to the U.S. critical minerals list hasn’t changed pricing by itself, but it does reinforce the strategic importance traders have been talking about all year. Meanwhile, ETF flows have stayed heavy. Retail and institutional buyers alike have been leaning into the rally, which tends to make silver’s moves sharper than gold’s.

Short-Term Outlook: Buyers Still Calling the Shots

Right now, the market still wants to buy dips. Momentum is stretched, but sellers haven’t shown much conviction. Unless the Fed pushes back harder on easing expectations or the industrial story cracks, silver has room to stay supported. A quick cool-off wouldn’t surprise anyone, but for now, buyers remain in control on weakness.

More Information in our Economic Calendar.