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S&P 500 Fundamental Forecast – August 26, 2016

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Aug 25, 2016, 10:51 UTC

The S&P 500 dipped 11 points falling off of its record highs as traders are sidelined ahead of Janet Yellen’s speech tomorrow. The weaker US dollar is

S&P 500 Fundamental Forecast – August 26, 2016

The S&P 500 dipped 11 points falling off of its record highs as traders are sidelined ahead of Janet Yellen’s speech tomorrow. The weaker US dollar is doing little to support the equities market. Oil prices are stable. Amid speculation of a rate rise, Yellen’s comments on Friday at a global central bankers meeting in Jackson Hole will be scoured for forward guidance on US central bank policy. Most bets are on a move just before the end of the year, or in February.

U.S. stocks fell Wednesday as renewed political pressure to tamp down drug prices pushed health-care stocks lower. The declines stemmed from criticism of price increases on Mylan’s EpiPen, a lifesaving injection device for people with severe allergies.

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton issued a statement calling EpiPen price increases “outrageous” and “just the latest troubling example of a company taking advantage of its consumers.”

Shortly after the statement was posted, shares of biotechnology companies extended their losses. The Nasdaq Biotechnology index dropped 3.4%. Mylan shares closed $2.47, or 5.4%, lower at $43.15. The health-care sector was the biggest decliner in the S&P 500, falling 1.6%.

The American Medical Association separately also urged the EpiPen manufacturer to “rein in exorbitant costs.” The price of a pack of two EpiPens has gone from $93.88 in 2007 to $608.61 now, according to Truven Health Analytics.

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Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

August 26, 2016

Country Name Volatility Previous
JPY Tokyo CPI ex Food, Energy (YoY) 2 0.3
JPY Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food (YoY) 2 -0.4
JPY Tokyo Consumer Price Index (YoY) 2 -0.4
JPY National CPI Ex-Fresh Food (YoY) 2 -0.5
JPY National CPI Ex Food, Energy (YoY) 2 0.4
JPY National Consumer Price Index 2 -0.4
EUR Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey 2 10
GBP GDP (YoY) 2 2.2
GBP GDP (QoQ) 2 0.6
USD GDP Annualized 2 1.2
USD GDP Price Index 2 2.2
USD Personal Consumption (QoQ) 2 1.9
USD Core Personal Consumption (QoQ) 2 1.7
USD Markit PMI Composite 2
USD Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count 2

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country Auction

Aug 24 10:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

Aug 24 10:30 Germany Eur 4bn 0% Oct 2021 Bobl

Aug 24 18:00 US Holds 2yr FRN auction & 5yr note auction

Aug 25 18:00 US Holds 7yr note auction

Aug 26 10:10 Italy Holds zero coupon

 

 

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