The S&P 500 has been noisy during the Thursday trading session, initially rallied towards the 2850 handle, but then pulling back, only to find buyers again. I think we are in an accumulation phase, as we digest the recent gains. Markets can’t go in one direction forever, so it’s likely that we are suddenly catching our breath before making a move to the upside.
The S&P 500 continues to be very noisy as Thursday was very range bound. I think that the market is trying to break out to the upside and clearing the 2850 level should free the market to go to the 2900 level, and then eventually the longer-term target: 3000. Every time we pull back, it should be a buying opportunity and I think that the 2825 level is currently offering a bit of a “floor” in the market. If we continue to grind sideways, I think that people are starting to add to their positions, and eventually we will get the necessary momentum to go higher. It’s not until we break down below the 2800 level that I would be concerned, but even then, I wouldn’t be a seller of the S&P 500 as we continue to see algorithmic traders come in and jump on anything it looks like value.
This is a market that has been very aggressive after New Year’s Day, and I think that is going to continue to be the case, as a lot of money managers will be chasing returns. If we break down below the 2800 level, then I’m going to start looking at the longer-term charts for some sense of direction. A weakening US dollar continues to help the S&P 500, as it also makes US exports cheap for the rest of the world by.
Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.