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U.S. Dollar Is Volatile After CPI Report: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Dec 18, 2025, 17:05 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD moved lower as ECB left the interest rate unchanged at 2.15%.
  • GBP/USD gained ground as BoE cut the interest rate from 4% to 3.75%.
  • USD/JPY was flat despite falling Treasury yields.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts

U.S. Dollar Is Little Changed As Traders React To Inflation Data

DXY 181225 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index is mostly flat as traders react to inflation reports for November. Inflation Rate was 2.7%, compared to analyst consensus of 3.1%. Core Inflation Rate was 2.6%, compared to analyst forecast of 3%. The government shutdown had an impact on October price data, so the report did not contain month-over-month data.

In case U.S. Dollar Index manages to settle above the 50 MA at 98.56, it will towards the nearest resistance level at 98.85 – 99.00.

EUR/USD Tests Support At 1.1715 – 1.1730 As Traders React To ECB Decision

EUR/USD 181225 4h Chart

EUR/USD pulled back as traders focused on the ECB Interest Rate Decision. The ECB left the rate unchanged at 2.15%, in line with analyst estimates. In addition, ECB officials signaled that current rate cycle could have come to an end.

If EUR/USD manages to settle below the support level at 1.1715 – 1.1730, it will move towards the next support, which is located in the 1.1615 – 1.1630 range.

GBP/USD Moves Higher As BoE Cuts Rates

GBP/USD 181225 4h Chart

GBP/USD gained some ground as traders focused on the BoE Interest Rate Decision. The BoE cut the rate from 4% to 3.75%, in line with analyst estimates. Four members voted to leave the rate unchanged, meeting analyst expectations.

A move above the 1.3450 level will lead to the test of the next resistance at 1.3475 – 1.3490.

USD/CAD Pulls Back Amid Rising Demand For Commodity-Related Currencies

USD/CAD 181225 4h Chart

USD/CAD is moving lower as traders focus on the continuation of the rally in platinum and palladium markets. Other commodity-related currencies are also gaining ground in today’s trading session.

A move below the 1.3750 level will push USD/CAD towards the support at 1.3720 – 1.3735. In case USD/CAD declines below the 1.3720 level, it will head towards the next support at 1.3670 – 1.3685.

USD/JPY Is Stuck Near The 50 MA At 155.67

USD/JPY 181225 4h Chart

USD/JPY is mostly flat despite the pullback in Treasury yields. The lower-than-expected U.S. inflation data did not put material pressure on USD/JPY.

From the technical point of view, USD/JPY needs to settle above the 50 MA at 155.67 to gain additional upside momentum in the near term.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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