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U.S. Dollar Moves Towards Yearly Lows: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Apr 16, 2025, 16:56 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • GBP/USD settled near 1.3230 as traders reacted to UK inflation reports.
  • USD/CAD pulled back as gold tested historic highs.
  • USD/JPY declined as Treasury yields pulled back.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY
In this article:

U.S. Dollar Is Under Pressure

DXY
DXY 160425 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index pulled back despite strong Retail Sales data. The report indicated that Retail Sales increased by +1.4% month-over-month in March, compared to analyst forecast of +1.3%. Traders ignored the report and focused on U.S. – China trade war.

In case U.S. Dollar Index settles below the 99.50 level, it will head towards the nearest support level, which is located in the 98.80 – 99.00 range.

EUR/USD Climbed Back Above The 1.1350 Level

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 160425 4h Chart

EUR/USD rebounded after the recent pullback as traders focused on Trump’s decision to curb chip exports to China.

If EUR/USD climbs above the 1.1400 level, it will move towards the next resistance level, which is located in the 1.1450 – 1.1470 range.

GBP/USD Faced Resistance Near 1.3300

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 160425 4h Chart

GBP/USD pulled back from recent highs as traders reacted to inflation data from the UK. Inflation Rate decreased from 2.8% in February to 2.6% in March, compared to analyst forecast of 2.7%. Core Inflation Rate declined from 3.5% to 3.4%, in line with analyst estimates.

The nearest support level for GBP/USD is located in the 1.3180 – 1.3200 range. A move below the 1.3180 level will push GBP/USD towards the next support at 1.3080 – 1.3100.

USD/CAD Is Losing Ground As Gold Markets Rally

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 160425 4h Chart

USD/CAD is losing ground as traders focus on the strong rally in gold markets. Spot gold managed to settle above the $3300 level.

If USD/CAD stays below the 1.3900 level, it will head towards the nearest support at 1.3800 – 1.3820.

USD/JPY Pulls Back As Treasury Yields Fall

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 160425 4h Chart

USD/JPY moved lower amid falling Treasury yields. The yield of 2-year Treasuries pulled back below the 3.80% level, while the yield of 10-year Treasuries settled near 4.30%.

From the technical point of view, USD/JPY needs to settle below the 141.50 level to gain additional downside momentum in the near term.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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