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U.S. Dollar Retreats As Demand For Safe-Haven Assets Falls: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Jun 16, 2025, 16:40 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD made an attempt to settle above the 1.1600 level.
  • USD/CAD moved lower amid rising demand for commodity-related currencies.
  • USD/JPY was mostly flat ahead of BoJ Interest Rate Decision.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts

U.S. Dollar Is Losing Ground At The Start Of The Week

DXY
DXY 160625 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index is trying to settle below the support at 98.00 – 98.20 as traders stay focused on the situation in the Middle East. Today, traders also had a chance to take a look at NY Empire State Manufacturing Index, report, which showed that NY Empire State Manufacturing Index decreased from -9.20 in May to -16.0 in June.

If U.S. Dollar Index stays below the 98.00 level, it will move towards the next support level, which is located in the 96.70 – 96.90 range.

EUR/USD Attempts To Settle Above 1.1600

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 160625 4h Chart

EUR/USD is trying to settle above the resistance at 1.1555 – 1.1570 as demand for safe-haven assets declined despite rising tensions in the Middle East. From a big picture point of view, forex traders have mostly ignored the conflict between Israel and Iran.

In case EUR/USD manages to settle above the 1.1570 level, it will head towards the next resistance level, which is located in the 1.1685 – 1.1700 range.

GBP/USD Gains Ground As Traders Stay Bullish

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 160625 4h Chart

GBP/USD tests resistance at 1.3620 – 1.3640 as traders focus on general weakness of the American currency.

A successful test of the resistance at 1.3620 – 1.3640 will open the way to the test of the next resistance level at 1.3735 – 1.3750.

USD/CAD Tests New Lows

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 160625 4h Chart

USD/CAD remains under pressure amid rising demand for commodity-related currencies. The pullback in the oil markets did not put pressure on the Canadian dollar.

A move below the 1.3550 level will push USD/CAD towards the next support level at 1.3420 – 1.3440.

USD/JPY Is Flat As Traders Prepare For BoJ Decision

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 160625 4h Chart

USD/JPY is mostly flat as traders wait for BoJ Interest Rate Decision, which will be released tomorrow.

If USD/JPY pulls back below the support at 143.50 – 144.00, it will head towards the next support level at 140.00 – 140.50.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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