Advertisement
Advertisement

U.S. Dollar Tests New Highs Ahead Of FOMC Minutes: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Oct 8, 2025, 17:08 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD declined towards the 1.1600 level as Germany's Industrial Production missed analyst estimates.
  • USD/CAD was mostly flat despite the strong rally in precious metals markets.
  • USD/JPY tested the 153.00 level as rally continued.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts

U.S. Dollar Index Tests Resistance At 98.85 – 99.00

DXY 081025 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index gains ground as traders wait for FOMC Minutes, which will be released soon.

Currently, U.S. Dollar Index is trying to settle above the resistance at 98.85 – 99.00. In case this attempt is successful, U.S. Dollar Index will move towards the next resistance level, which is located in the 100.00 – 100.15 range.

EUR/USD Retreats As Germany’s Industrial Production Falls By 4.3%

EUR/USD 081025 4h Chart

EUR/USD remains under pressure as traders focus on the weaker-than-expected Industrial Production report from Germany. The report indicated that Industrial Production declined by -4.3% month-over-month in August, compared to analyst forecast of -1%.

A successful test of the support at 1.1585 – 1.1600 will open the way to the test of the next support level at 1.1450 – 1.1465.

GBP/USD Pulled Back Below The 1.3400 Level

GBP/USD 081025 4h Chart

GBP/USD pulled back as traders focused on general strength of the American currency.

The nearest support level for GBP/USD is located in the 1.3335 – 1.3350 range. A move below the 1.3335 level will push GBP/USD towards the next support at 1.3150 – 1.3165.

USD/CAD Is Flat As Traders Ignore The Rally In Gold And Silver Markets

USD/CAD 081025 4h Chart

USD/CAD stays range-bound despite the strong rally in precious metals markets. Spot gold climbed above the $4000 level, while silver moved above the $49.00 level.

In case USD/CAD declines below the support at 1.3910 – 1.3925, it will move towards the next support at 1.3845 – 1.3860.

USD/JPY Tests The 153.00 Level

USD/JPY 081025 4h Chart

USD/JPY tested new highs as traders remained focused on the results of Japan ruling party elections. Traders expect that BoJ will be more dovish than previously expected.

If USD/JPY climbs above the 153.00 level, it will head towards the resistance at 154.50 – 155.00. RSI is in the overbought territory, so the risks of a pullback are increasing.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

Advertisement