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USD/JPY Price Forecast – US dollar continues to find support

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: May 17, 2019, 16:44 UTC

The US dollar fell a bit during the trading session on Friday, as we continue to see a lot of noise against the Japanese yen. This makes sense, because there’s a lot of noise coming out of the US/China trade situation, and of course the Japanese yen is an extraordinarily “safe currency.”

USD/JPY daily chart, May 20, 2019

The US dollar has initially drifted lower during the trading session on Friday, as the Chinese announced that they didn’t think the trade negotiations were going to get any better anytime soon. At this point, it’s very likely that we are going to see a lot of back and forth in this pair, but as the Americans have stepped on board, stock markets and started to recover and therefore it looks like this pair may do the same thing.

USD/JPY Video 20.05.19

There is still a gap above at the ¥111 level, which has yet to be filled. Because of this, I think that the market will aim for that given enough time but obviously we need some type of “risk on” attitude to move. At that point, I think that the ¥111 level could be rather resistive, so I’d be willing to take profit at that point.

The alternate scenario of course is that we break down through the support level that I see right now that extends down to the ¥109 level. A move below there then sends the market down to the ¥108 level, which is an area that should be crucial for the markets overall. In general, I believe that this is a market that is looking for a reason to go higher, but quite frankly has to wait on the rest of the world to catch up. If we were to break down below the ¥108 level, that’s probably going to be due to some type of financial crisis situation.

Please let us know what you think in the comments below

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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