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Christopher Lewis

The US dollar went back and forth during the course of the week, hanging around the ¥107 level yet again. This seems to be a bit of a magnet for price, as it is in the middle of the larger consolidation area between the ¥105 level on the bottom and the ¥109 level on the top. At this point, it looks as if the market is trying to pick the next direction, so you are better off simply waiting on some type of impulsive candlestick to get involved. Ultimately, I think that longer-term traders will probably continue to avoid this market, and quite frankly I think they probably should.

USD/JPY Video 01.06.20

When we do make that impulsive candlestick, then you can follow the market for a couple of hundred tics. Ultimately though, the market looks highly likely to see some type of decision eventually. At this point, this is a market that is probably easier to trade on short-term charts, as an investment would be a bit difficult.

Ultimately though, I do think that we will get that signal as to where we are going for the next 500 points, but right now we are not anywhere near making that decision so I would be cautious about putting too much money into this market in the meantime. If you are patient enough, you should get some type of trend to follow, but right now we clearly do not have land when it comes to these two currencies, which both are thought of as “safety currencies”, so it should not be a huge surprise.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

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