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USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis December 31, 2012, Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 21, 2015, 02:00 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: The USD/CAD added 12pts to trade at 0.9964 as the US dollar gained on the last full trading day of the year. Strong eco data

USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis December 31, 2012, Forecast

USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis December 31, 2012, Forecast
USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis December 31, 2012, Forecast
Analysis and Recommendations:

The USD/CAD added 12pts to trade at 0.9964 as the US dollar gained on the last full trading day of the year. Strong eco data from the US, showing an increase in Pending Home Sales and Chicago PMI both printing above expectations. The Canadian dollar traded in the narrowest range this year as U.S. lawmakers prepared to meet before a deadline to avoid spending cuts and tax increases that may push the nation’s biggest trading partner into recession.

The currency has gained 2.6 percent this year versus its U.S. counterpart, erasing last year’s 2.3 percent loss. U.S. President Barack Obama summoned congressional leaders to the White House for a 3 p.m. meeting as lawmakers give little sign they intend to act together on a budget plan.

Movement in CAD will continue to be driven by external factors in the absence of domestic data ahead of next Friday’s employment release

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Markets will have a shortened day on Monday December 31st and most are closed on Tuesday January 1, 2013. Our analysis will be published as markets close on Monday and there will be no analysis on Tuesday. I want to wish all of my readers a happy and healthy new year. I hope you continue reading our analysis next year. 

Economic Data December 28, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

Dec. 28

 

EUR

 

 

French Consumer Spending (MoM) 

0.2%

 

0.1% 

 

-0.1% 

   

 

 

EUR

 

 

French GDP (QoQ) 

0.1%

 

0.2% 

 

0.2% 

 

 

 

 

SEK

 

 

Swedish Retail Sales (MoM) 

0.30%

 

0.20% 

 

-1.80% 

   

 

 

EUR

 

 

Italian 10-Year BTP Auction 

4.48%

 

 

 

4.45% 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

Chicago PMI 

51.6 

 

51.0 

 

50.4 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

Pending Home Sales (MoM) 

 1.7%

 

1.0% 

 

5.2% 

 

 

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP, CAD and USD

Date

Time

Country

Event

Forecast

Previous

Jan. 01

01:00

CNY

Chinese Manufacturing PMI 

 

50.60 

Jan. 02

00:00

EUR

German CPI (MoM) 

0.7% 

-0.1% 

 

00:00

EUR

German CPI (YoY) 

1.9% 

1.9% 

 

08:00

CHF

KOF Leading Indicators 

1.38 

1.50 

 

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