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New Zealand Inflation Expectations

Last Release
Sep 30, 2025
Actual
2.28
Units In
%
Previous
2.29
Frequency
Quarterly
Next Release
Nov 11, 2025
Time to Release
3 Months 2 Days 3 Hours
Highest
Lowest
Average
Date Range
Source
8.3
Sep 1987
1.24
Jun 2020
2.52 %1987-2025Reserve Bank of New Zealand
In New Zealand, business inflation expectations refer to two-year inflation forecast. Two years is seen as the timeframe when any central bank monetary policy action will filter through to prices.

Latest Updates

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) quarterly survey of expectations showed that business managers forecast inflation at 2.28% for the next two years in Q3 2025, edging down from 2.29% in the previous three-month period. Additionally, one-year inflation expectations eased to 2.37% from 2.41%. Meanwhile, longer-term projections showed that five-year-ahead inflation expectations increased to 2.26% from 2.18%, while ten-year expectations remained unchanged at 2.15%. As for interest rates, respondents forecast the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to be at 3.02% by the end of the September 2025 quarter, declining further to 2.86% by the end of the June 2026 quarter.

New Zealand Inflation Expectations History

Last 12 readings

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