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3 Signals Driving Litecoin’s Bullish Outlook Versus Bitcoin

By:
Yashu Gola
Published: Sep 11, 2025, 10:19 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Grayscale filed with the SEC on Sept. 9 to convert its Litecoin Trust into a regulated ETF listed on NYSE Arca.
  • Bank of New York Mellon is named as administrator, while Coinbase will provide custody and brokerage services.
  • LTC gained 6.3% against USD and 3.5% versus BTC since the ETF news broke.
Litecoin logo concept

Litecoin (LTC) is flashing stronger upside prospects than Bitcoin (BTC), backed by a rare alignment of fundamentals, whale accumulation, and bullish technical signals.

Litecoin Fundamental Outlook: Grayscale Litecoin ETF Filing

Grayscale Investments submitted official filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission on Sept. 9 to convert its Litecoin Trust into a regulated ETF.

According to documents, the proposed Litecoin ETF will use Bank of New York Mellon as administrator, with Coinbase serving in custody and prime brokerage roles.

Grayscale aims to list the converted LTC Trust on NYSE Arca, using the proposed S-3 filing and leveraging generic listing standards if adopted.

LTC’s price has jumped by around 6.30% versus the dollar and 3.50% versus BTC since Grayscale’s filing with the SEC, underscoring a growing bullish sentiment around the Litecoin ETF’s potential launch.

LTC/USD vs. LTC/BTC daily performance chart

Litecoin Onchain Analysis: LTC Whale Accumulation Surge on ETF News

On-chain data confirms large investors are responding quickly.

According to Santiment, wallets holding over 1,000 LTC added 181,000 coins in a single day, coinciding with the ETF news. Whale transactions above $1 million surged to 349 within 12 hours, the highest in nearly two months.

Litecoin whale transaction count vs. price. Source: Santiment

The sudden accumulation highlights institutional and high-net-worth interest in LTC’s ETF narrative. Historically, such whale activity has preceded strong price rallies, as accumulation reduces available supply on exchanges.

Litecoin Technical Analysis: LTC/BTC Falling Wedge Breakout

The LTC/BTC pair is trading inside a classic falling wedge pattern, a setup known for bullish reversals.

LTC/BTC daily price chart. Source: TradingView

The pair is now pressing against the wedge’s resistance trendline after reclaiming the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages as support. A breakout above 0.001154 BTC could confirm the pattern, opening the door for a rally toward the 0.0013–0.0015 BTC range.

Momentum indicators support the case. The daily RSI holds near neutral levels, suggesting room for upside without immediate overbought risks. Rising volume into the wedge’s apex further validates the potential breakout move.

What Could Change This View?

A decisive close below the wedge’s upper trendline may delay the breakout stage, if not invalidating the bullish setup altogether.

If that happens, LTC’s price risks will drop toward the lower trendline near 0.000993 BTC, aligning with the 50-day EMA support.

About the Author

Yashu Gola is a crypto journalist and analyst with expertise in digital assets, blockchain, and macroeconomics. He provides in-depth market analysis, technical chart patterns, and insights on global economic impacts. His work bridges traditional finance and crypto, offering actionable advice and educational content. Passionate about blockchain's role in finance, he studies behavioral finance to predict memecoin trends.

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