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AUD/USD Fundamental Analysis – August 14, 2015 – Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Aug 13, 2015, 04:05 UTC

Analysis and Recommendation: The AUD/USD climbed off its bottom after China instructed its banks to buy up dollars to support the price of the yuan. The

AUD/USD Fundamental Analysis – August 14, 2015 – Forecast

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Analysis and Recommendation:

The AUD/USD climbed off its bottom after China instructed its banks to buy up dollars to support the price of the yuan. The PBOC has leveled off the decline in the currency after it changes its daily setting process. The Aussie is now trading at 73.82 well of its recent bottoms.

The Australian dollar has rebounded overnight after Chinese authorities stepped in to halt the slide of the yuan, following two days of steep falls sparked by Chinese currency devaluations.

The Aussie’s recovery was fuelled by the US dollar falling 1 per cent, amid concerns the incoming US Federal Reserve interest rate rise may be delayed due to the yuan initiated increased volatility.

Widespread press reports attributed some of the pickup to a suspected intervention by the Chinese authorities in the last minutes of trading yesterday as the yuan looked on track to lose more than its 2 per cent daily limit.

The Australian dollar tumbled to its lowest level since 2009 after the Chinese central bank set the midpoint for its yuan at the weakest level since October 2012.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Today’s economic releases:

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  NZD

 

Business NZ PMI (Jul)

53.5

 

55.2

 

 

  GBP

 

RICS House Price Balance (Jul)

44%

42%

40%

 

 

  AUD

 

RBA Assist Gov Kent Speaks  

 

 

 

   

 

AUDUSD(15 minutes)20150813065201

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Friday, August 14, 2015

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  NZD

 

Core Retail Sales (QoQ)

 

0.7%

2.9%

 

 

  EUR

 

German GDP (QoQ) (Q2)  

 

0.5%

0.3%

 

 

  EUR

 

Core CPI (YoY) (Jul)

 

1.0%

1.0%

 

 

  EUR

 

CPI (MoM) (Jul)

 

-0.6%

0.0%

 

 

  EUR

 

GDP (QoQ) (Q2)  

 

0.4%

0.4%

 

 

  USD

 

PPI (MoM) (Jul)

 

0.1%

0.4%

 

 

  CAD

 

Manufacturing Sales (MoM) (Jun)

 

2.1%

0.1%

 

 

  USD

 

Industrial Production (MoM) (Jul)

 

0.3%

0.3%

 

 

  USD

 

Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Aug)  

 

93.5

93.1

   

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Aug 13 11:10 Italy Auctions BTPs/CCTeus

Aug 19 11:30 Germany Eur 5bn Sep 2017 Schatz

Aug 19 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

Aug 20 10:30 Spain Auctions Bonos/Obligaciones

Aug 20 11:30 UK Auctions 4.25% 2036 Gilt

Aug 21 17:30 Italy Announces details of CTZ/BTPei on 26 Aug

 

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